Redistricting following the Supreme Court’s ruling in Callais v. Louisiana shifted Louisiana’s 6th District boundaries, prompting incumbent Democrat Cleo Fields to retire and seek a state Senate seat instead. This created an open seat drawing multiple Republican contenders—including state senators Rick Edmonds and Blake Miguez plus Livingston Parish Republican leader Larry Davis—alongside several Democratic candidates. Under the restored jungle primary format scheduled for November 3, all candidates appear on one ballot and a majority is required for an outright win. With vote shares expected to fragment across a crowded field in a district rated competitive or leaning Republican by forecasters, traders assign an 84% probability that no candidate reaches the threshold and a December 12 runoff follows.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于是
16% 概率
最新
最新
2026-11-03
是
16% 概率
最新
最新
2026-11-03
The first round of the 2026 midterm LA-06 House election will be held on November 3, 2026. A candidate may win the election “outright” in the first round by winning more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm LA-06 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the LA-06 House election.Redistricting following the Supreme Court’s ruling in Callais v. Louisiana shifted Louisiana’s 6th District boundaries, prompting incumbent Democrat Cleo Fields to retire and seek a state Senate seat instead. This created an open seat drawing multiple Republican contenders—including state senators Rick Edmonds and Blake Miguez plus Livingston Parish Republican leader Larry Davis—alongside several Democratic candidates. Under the restored jungle primary format scheduled for November 3, all candidates appear on one ballot and a majority is required for an outright win. With vote shares expected to fragment across a crowded field in a district rated competitive or leaning Republican by forecasters, traders assign an 84% probability that no candidate reaches the threshold and a December 12 runoff follows.
The first round of the 2026 midterm LA-06 House election will be held on November 3, 2026. A candidate may win the election “outright” in the first round by winning more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm LA-06 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the LA-06 House election.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm LA-06 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the LA-06 House election.
市场开放时间： Aug 14, 2026, 5:26 PM ET
交易量
$21结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Aug 14, 2026, 5:26 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The first round of the 2026 midterm LA-06 House election will be held on November 3, 2026. A candidate may win the election “outright” in the first round by winning more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm LA-06 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the LA-06 House election.Redistricting following the Supreme Court’s ruling in Callais v. Louisiana shifted Louisiana’s 6th District boundaries, prompting incumbent Democrat Cleo Fields to retire and seek a state Senate seat instead. This created an open seat drawing multiple Republican contenders—including state senators Rick Edmonds and Blake Miguez plus Livingston Parish Republican leader Larry Davis—alongside several Democratic candidates. Under the restored jungle primary format scheduled for November 3, all candidates appear on one ballot and a majority is required for an outright win. With vote shares expected to fragment across a crowded field in a district rated competitive or leaning Republican by forecasters, traders assign an 84% probability that no candidate reaches the threshold and a December 12 runoff follows.
The first round of the 2026 midterm LA-06 House election will be held on November 3, 2026. A candidate may win the election “outright” in the first round by winning more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm LA-06 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the LA-06 House election.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm LA-06 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the LA-06 House election.
交易量
$21结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Aug 14, 2026, 5:26 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Redistricting following the Supreme Court’s ruling in Callais v. Louisiana shifted Louisiana’s 6th District boundaries, prompting incumbent Democrat Cleo Fields to retire and seek a state Senate seat instead. This created an open seat drawing multiple Republican contenders—including state senators Rick Edmonds and Blake Miguez plus Livingston Parish Republican leader Larry Davis—alongside several Democratic candidates. Under the restored jungle primary format scheduled for November 3, all candidates appear on one ballot and a majority is required for an outright win. With vote shares expected to fragment across a crowded field in a district rated competitive or leaning Republican by forecasters, traders assign an 84% probability that no candidate reaches the threshold and a December 12 runoff follows.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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