Clay Fuller, the Republican incumbent who won the April 2026 special runoff to succeed Marjorie Taylor Greene, faces Democrat Shawn Harris in the November 3 general election for Georgia’s 14th district. The district’s strong Republican tilt and the consolidation to two major-party nominees after the multi-candidate special election increase the odds of one candidate securing a majority on the first ballot. Georgia’s runoff rule applies if no candidate exceeds 50 percent, yet historical patterns in this safely Republican seat and limited polling volatility support trader consensus around a 61.5 percent implied probability of an outright winner. A December 1 runoff remains possible only if unexpected turnout shifts or late developments fragment support.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于是
75% 概率
最新
最新
2026-11-03
是
75% 概率
最新
最新
2026-11-03
The first round of the 2026 midterm GA-14 House election will be held on November 3, 2026. A candidate may win the election “outright” in the first round by winning more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm GA-14 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the GA-14 House election.Clay Fuller, the Republican incumbent who won the April 2026 special runoff to succeed Marjorie Taylor Greene, faces Democrat Shawn Harris in the November 3 general election for Georgia’s 14th district. The district’s strong Republican tilt and the consolidation to two major-party nominees after the multi-candidate special election increase the odds of one candidate securing a majority on the first ballot. Georgia’s runoff rule applies if no candidate exceeds 50 percent, yet historical patterns in this safely Republican seat and limited polling volatility support trader consensus around a 61.5 percent implied probability of an outright winner. A December 1 runoff remains possible only if unexpected turnout shifts or late developments fragment support.
The first round of the 2026 midterm GA-14 House election will be held on November 3, 2026. A candidate may win the election “outright” in the first round by winning more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm GA-14 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the GA-14 House election.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm GA-14 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the GA-14 House election.
市场开放时间： Aug 14, 2026, 5:18 PM ET
交易量
$239结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Aug 14, 2026, 5:18 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The first round of the 2026 midterm GA-14 House election will be held on November 3, 2026. A candidate may win the election “outright” in the first round by winning more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm GA-14 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the GA-14 House election.Clay Fuller, the Republican incumbent who won the April 2026 special runoff to succeed Marjorie Taylor Greene, faces Democrat Shawn Harris in the November 3 general election for Georgia’s 14th district. The district’s strong Republican tilt and the consolidation to two major-party nominees after the multi-candidate special election increase the odds of one candidate securing a majority on the first ballot. Georgia’s runoff rule applies if no candidate exceeds 50 percent, yet historical patterns in this safely Republican seat and limited polling volatility support trader consensus around a 61.5 percent implied probability of an outright winner. A December 1 runoff remains possible only if unexpected turnout shifts or late developments fragment support.
The first round of the 2026 midterm GA-14 House election will be held on November 3, 2026. A candidate may win the election “outright” in the first round by winning more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm GA-14 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the GA-14 House election.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm GA-14 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the GA-14 House election.
交易量
$429结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Aug 14, 2026, 5:18 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Clay Fuller, the Republican incumbent who won the April 2026 special runoff to succeed Marjorie Taylor Greene, faces Democrat Shawn Harris in the November 3 general election for Georgia’s 14th district. The district’s strong Republican tilt and the consolidation to two major-party nominees after the multi-candidate special election increase the odds of one candidate securing a majority on the first ballot. Georgia’s runoff rule applies if no candidate exceeds 50 percent, yet historical patterns in this safely Republican seat and limited polling volatility support trader consensus around a 61.5 percent implied probability of an outright winner. A December 1 runoff remains possible only if unexpected turnout shifts or late developments fragment support.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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