Republican incumbent Keith Self secured his party's nomination with over 80% in the March 2026 primary and faces Democrat Evan Hunt in the November 3 general election for Texas's 3rd congressional district. The seat's established Republican tilt, demonstrated by Self's 62.5% win in 2024 and strong 2024 presidential and Senate results for Trump and Cruz, underpins the current trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee. Forecasters rate the race as Lean or Likely Republican, reflecting limited Democratic infrastructure and the district's voting history. Potential shifts could arise from an unusually strong national Democratic environment, unexpected candidate controversies, or sharply depressed Republican turnout, though such factors have not materialized in recent cycles.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$28,199 交易量
$28,199 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
91%
民主党
9%
$28,199 交易量
$28,199 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
$18,652 交易量
91%
民主党
$9,547 交易量
9%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican incumbent Keith Self secured his party's nomination with over 80% in the March 2026 primary and faces Democrat Evan Hunt in the November 3 general election for Texas's 3rd congressional district. The seat's established Republican tilt, demonstrated by Self's 62.5% win in 2024 and strong 2024 presidential and Senate results for Trump and Cruz, underpins the current trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee. Forecasters rate the race as Lean or Likely Republican, reflecting limited Democratic infrastructure and the district's voting history. Potential shifts could arise from an unusually strong national Democratic environment, unexpected candidate controversies, or sharply depressed Republican turnout, though such factors have not materialized in recent cycles.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
交易量
$28,199结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican incumbent Keith Self secured his party's nomination with over 80% in the March 2026 primary and faces Democrat Evan Hunt in the November 3 general election for Texas's 3rd congressional district. The seat's established Republican tilt, demonstrated by Self's 62.5% win in 2024 and strong 2024 presidential and Senate results for Trump and Cruz, underpins the current trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee. Forecasters rate the race as Lean or Likely Republican, reflecting limited Democratic infrastructure and the district's voting history. Potential shifts could arise from an unusually strong national Democratic environment, unexpected candidate controversies, or sharply depressed Republican turnout, though such factors have not materialized in recent cycles.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$28,199结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Republican incumbent Keith Self secured his party's nomination with over 80% in the March 2026 primary and faces Democrat Evan Hunt in the November 3 general election for Texas's 3rd congressional district. The seat's established Republican tilt, demonstrated by Self's 62.5% win in 2024 and strong 2024 presidential and Senate results for Trump and Cruz, underpins the current trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee. Forecasters rate the race as Lean or Likely Republican, reflecting limited Democratic infrastructure and the district's voting history. Potential shifts could arise from an unusually strong national Democratic environment, unexpected candidate controversies, or sharply depressed Republican turnout, though such factors have not materialized in recent cycles.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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