Republican incumbent Jake Ellzey secured his party's nomination after defeating primary challengers in March 2026 and now faces Democrat Danny Minton in the November general election for Texas's 6th congressional district. The seat's partisan baseline, reflected in strong Republican performance in recent cycles including 2024 presidential and House results, underpins the market's 90.5% implied probability for the GOP. Fundraising, endorsements, and the absence of competitive Democratic infrastructure in this suburban Dallas-Fort Worth area further reinforce trader consensus. A national Democratic surge, unexpected scandal, or unusually high opposition turnout could narrow margins, though structural factors limit realistic paths to an upset before Election Day.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$35,414 交易量
$35,414 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
91%
民主党
8%
$35,414 交易量
$35,414 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
$14,192 交易量
91%
民主党
$21,222 交易量
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican incumbent Jake Ellzey secured his party's nomination after defeating primary challengers in March 2026 and now faces Democrat Danny Minton in the November general election for Texas's 6th congressional district. The seat's partisan baseline, reflected in strong Republican performance in recent cycles including 2024 presidential and House results, underpins the market's 90.5% implied probability for the GOP. Fundraising, endorsements, and the absence of competitive Democratic infrastructure in this suburban Dallas-Fort Worth area further reinforce trader consensus. A national Democratic surge, unexpected scandal, or unusually high opposition turnout could narrow margins, though structural factors limit realistic paths to an upset before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
交易量
$35,414结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican incumbent Jake Ellzey secured his party's nomination after defeating primary challengers in March 2026 and now faces Democrat Danny Minton in the November general election for Texas's 6th congressional district. The seat's partisan baseline, reflected in strong Republican performance in recent cycles including 2024 presidential and House results, underpins the market's 90.5% implied probability for the GOP. Fundraising, endorsements, and the absence of competitive Democratic infrastructure in this suburban Dallas-Fort Worth area further reinforce trader consensus. A national Democratic surge, unexpected scandal, or unusually high opposition turnout could narrow margins, though structural factors limit realistic paths to an upset before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$35,414结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Republican incumbent Jake Ellzey secured his party's nomination after defeating primary challengers in March 2026 and now faces Democrat Danny Minton in the November general election for Texas's 6th congressional district. The seat's partisan baseline, reflected in strong Republican performance in recent cycles including 2024 presidential and House results, underpins the market's 90.5% implied probability for the GOP. Fundraising, endorsements, and the absence of competitive Democratic infrastructure in this suburban Dallas-Fort Worth area further reinforce trader consensus. A national Democratic surge, unexpected scandal, or unusually high opposition turnout could narrow margins, though structural factors limit realistic paths to an upset before Election Day.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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