Incumbent Republican Joe Wilson secured his party's nomination with a decisive 74% in the June 2026 primary, facing minimal opposition from challengers Hamp Redmond and Sam Gibbons. The district's established Republican lean, reflected in Wilson's 2024 general election margin, underpins trader consensus favoring the GOP outcome at 85.5% implied probability. Democratic nominee Zyon Khalifa advanced through a June runoff but confronts structural headwinds in a central South Carolina seat spanning Columbia and Augusta suburbs. With the general election set for November 3, 2026, and no major recent shifts in polling or candidate dynamics, the market reflects limited upside for the Democratic Party at 14.5%. Other outcomes tied to specific candidates or third-party entries trade near even money amid low expected viability.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$34,857 交易量
$34,857 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
86%
民主党
15%
$34,857 交易量
$34,857 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
$12,210 交易量
86%
民主党
$22,646 交易量
15%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Joe Wilson secured his party's nomination with a decisive 74% in the June 2026 primary, facing minimal opposition from challengers Hamp Redmond and Sam Gibbons. The district's established Republican lean, reflected in Wilson's 2024 general election margin, underpins trader consensus favoring the GOP outcome at 85.5% implied probability. Democratic nominee Zyon Khalifa advanced through a June runoff but confronts structural headwinds in a central South Carolina seat spanning Columbia and Augusta suburbs. With the general election set for November 3, 2026, and no major recent shifts in polling or candidate dynamics, the market reflects limited upside for the Democratic Party at 14.5%. Other outcomes tied to specific candidates or third-party entries trade near even money amid low expected viability.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
交易量
$34,857结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Joe Wilson secured his party's nomination with a decisive 74% in the June 2026 primary, facing minimal opposition from challengers Hamp Redmond and Sam Gibbons. The district's established Republican lean, reflected in Wilson's 2024 general election margin, underpins trader consensus favoring the GOP outcome at 85.5% implied probability. Democratic nominee Zyon Khalifa advanced through a June runoff but confronts structural headwinds in a central South Carolina seat spanning Columbia and Augusta suburbs. With the general election set for November 3, 2026, and no major recent shifts in polling or candidate dynamics, the market reflects limited upside for the Democratic Party at 14.5%. Other outcomes tied to specific candidates or third-party entries trade near even money amid low expected viability.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$34,857结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Joe Wilson secured his party's nomination with a decisive 74% in the June 2026 primary, facing minimal opposition from challengers Hamp Redmond and Sam Gibbons. The district's established Republican lean, reflected in Wilson's 2024 general election margin, underpins trader consensus favoring the GOP outcome at 85.5% implied probability. Democratic nominee Zyon Khalifa advanced through a June runoff but confronts structural headwinds in a central South Carolina seat spanning Columbia and Augusta suburbs. With the general election set for November 3, 2026, and no major recent shifts in polling or candidate dynamics, the market reflects limited upside for the Democratic Party at 14.5%. Other outcomes tied to specific candidates or third-party entries trade near even money amid low expected viability.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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