Johnny Olszewski holds a commanding position in Maryland’s 2nd congressional district race due to the area’s consistent Democratic lean, reflected in its D+10 partisan voting index and uniform “Solid Democratic” or “Safe Democratic” ratings from major forecasters. As the incumbent who secured 58 percent in 2024, Olszewski cruised through the June 2026 primary with 84.5 percent and maintains a substantial fundraising edge, with hundreds of thousands in cash on hand compared to challenger Dave Wallace’s minimal reserves. Wallace, a repeat Republican nominee, won his primary but faces structural headwinds in a district encompassing Baltimore County suburbs and portions of Baltimore City. Trader consensus at 95 percent for Olszewski aligns with these fundamentals, though late developments such as an unforeseen scandal, significant national political shift, or candidate health event could still influence the November outcome.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$24,629 交易量
$24,629 交易量
2026-11-02
约翰尼·奥尔舍夫斯基（民主党）
96%
戴夫·华莱士（共和党）
5%
$24,629 交易量
$24,629 交易量
2026-11-02
约翰尼·奥尔舍夫斯基（民主党）
$12,596 交易量
96%
戴夫·华莱士（共和党）
$12,034 交易量
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Johnny Olszewski holds a commanding position in Maryland’s 2nd congressional district race due to the area’s consistent Democratic lean, reflected in its D+10 partisan voting index and uniform “Solid Democratic” or “Safe Democratic” ratings from major forecasters. As the incumbent who secured 58 percent in 2024, Olszewski cruised through the June 2026 primary with 84.5 percent and maintains a substantial fundraising edge, with hundreds of thousands in cash on hand compared to challenger Dave Wallace’s minimal reserves. Wallace, a repeat Republican nominee, won his primary but faces structural headwinds in a district encompassing Baltimore County suburbs and portions of Baltimore City. Trader consensus at 95 percent for Olszewski aligns with these fundamentals, though late developments such as an unforeseen scandal, significant national political shift, or candidate health event could still influence the November outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
交易量
$24,629结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETThis market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Johnny Olszewski holds a commanding position in Maryland’s 2nd congressional district race due to the area’s consistent Democratic lean, reflected in its D+10 partisan voting index and uniform “Solid Democratic” or “Safe Democratic” ratings from major forecasters. As the incumbent who secured 58 percent in 2024, Olszewski cruised through the June 2026 primary with 84.5 percent and maintains a substantial fundraising edge, with hundreds of thousands in cash on hand compared to challenger Dave Wallace’s minimal reserves. Wallace, a repeat Republican nominee, won his primary but faces structural headwinds in a district encompassing Baltimore County suburbs and portions of Baltimore City. Trader consensus at 95 percent for Olszewski aligns with these fundamentals, though late developments such as an unforeseen scandal, significant national political shift, or candidate health event could still influence the November outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$24,629结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETJohnny Olszewski holds a commanding position in Maryland’s 2nd congressional district race due to the area’s consistent Democratic lean, reflected in its D+10 partisan voting index and uniform “Solid Democratic” or “Safe Democratic” ratings from major forecasters. As the incumbent who secured 58 percent in 2024, Olszewski cruised through the June 2026 primary with 84.5 percent and maintains a substantial fundraising edge, with hundreds of thousands in cash on hand compared to challenger Dave Wallace’s minimal reserves. Wallace, a repeat Republican nominee, won his primary but faces structural headwinds in a district encompassing Baltimore County suburbs and portions of Baltimore City. Trader consensus at 95 percent for Olszewski aligns with these fundamentals, though late developments such as an unforeseen scandal, significant national political shift, or candidate health event could still influence the November outcome.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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