Recent UK parliamentary by-elections have stemmed from targeted resignations, including Nigel Farage’s July 2026 departure from Clacton amid standards scrutiny and Josh Simons’s May exit from Makerfield to facilitate Andy Burnham’s return to the Commons. Keir Starmer’s September 1 resignation from Holborn and St Pancras, following his departure as prime minister, triggered the writ for an October 8 contest, with the process managed by the relevant party whip and Clerk of the Crown. Trader focus centers on the frequency of such vacancies before the 2029 general election, driven by health issues, leadership challenges, or procedural moves in Labour, Reform UK, and other parties holding seats. The next confirmed parliamentary by-election remains October 8 in Holborn and St Pancras, with no additional writs announced as of mid-September.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于最新
2026-10-31
10月31日
14%
12月31日
20%
$124 交易量
10月31日
$52 交易量
14%
12月31日
$72 交易量
20%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a writ calling for a parliamentary by-election in a UK parliamentary constituency is issued by the UK Clerk of the Crown in Chancery by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The issuance of a writ must be confirmed within the specified timeframe to qualify.
Only a writ issued after market creation will count. The writ for the Holborn and St Pancras by-election, issued prior to market creation, will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom, including the UK Parliament and the relevant local government conducting the election; however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Recent UK parliamentary by-elections have stemmed from targeted resignations, including Nigel Farage’s July 2026 departure from Clacton amid standards scrutiny and Josh Simons’s May exit from Makerfield to facilitate Andy Burnham’s return to the Commons. Keir Starmer’s September 1 resignation from Holborn and St Pancras, following his departure as prime minister, triggered the writ for an October 8 contest, with the process managed by the relevant party whip and Clerk of the Crown. Trader focus centers on the frequency of such vacancies before the 2029 general election, driven by health issues, leadership challenges, or procedural moves in Labour, Reform UK, and other parties holding seats. The next confirmed parliamentary by-election remains October 8 in Holborn and St Pancras, with no additional writs announced as of mid-September.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a writ calling for a parliamentary by-election in a UK parliamentary constituency is issued by the UK Clerk of the Crown in Chancery by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The issuance of a writ must be confirmed within the specified timeframe to qualify.
Only a writ issued after market creation will count. The writ for the Holborn and St Pancras by-election, issued prior to market creation, will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom, including the UK Parliament and the relevant local government conducting the election; however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
The issuance of a writ must be confirmed within the specified timeframe to qualify.
Only a writ issued after market creation will count. The writ for the Holborn and St Pancras by-election, issued prior to market creation, will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom, including the UK Parliament and the relevant local government conducting the election; however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
市场开放时间： Sep 14, 2026, 5:47 PM ET
交易量
$124结束日期
2027-01-01市场开放时间
Sep 14, 2026, 5:47 PM ETThis market will resolve to "Yes" if a writ calling for a parliamentary by-election in a UK parliamentary constituency is issued by the UK Clerk of the Crown in Chancery by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The issuance of a writ must be confirmed within the specified timeframe to qualify.
Only a writ issued after market creation will count. The writ for the Holborn and St Pancras by-election, issued prior to market creation, will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom, including the UK Parliament and the relevant local government conducting the election; however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Recent UK parliamentary by-elections have stemmed from targeted resignations, including Nigel Farage’s July 2026 departure from Clacton amid standards scrutiny and Josh Simons’s May exit from Makerfield to facilitate Andy Burnham’s return to the Commons. Keir Starmer’s September 1 resignation from Holborn and St Pancras, following his departure as prime minister, triggered the writ for an October 8 contest, with the process managed by the relevant party whip and Clerk of the Crown. Trader focus centers on the frequency of such vacancies before the 2029 general election, driven by health issues, leadership challenges, or procedural moves in Labour, Reform UK, and other parties holding seats. The next confirmed parliamentary by-election remains October 8 in Holborn and St Pancras, with no additional writs announced as of mid-September.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a writ calling for a parliamentary by-election in a UK parliamentary constituency is issued by the UK Clerk of the Crown in Chancery by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The issuance of a writ must be confirmed within the specified timeframe to qualify.
Only a writ issued after market creation will count. The writ for the Holborn and St Pancras by-election, issued prior to market creation, will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom, including the UK Parliament and the relevant local government conducting the election; however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
The issuance of a writ must be confirmed within the specified timeframe to qualify.
Only a writ issued after market creation will count. The writ for the Holborn and St Pancras by-election, issued prior to market creation, will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom, including the UK Parliament and the relevant local government conducting the election; however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
交易量
$124结束日期
2027-01-01市场开放时间
Sep 14, 2026, 5:47 PM ETRecent UK parliamentary by-elections have stemmed from targeted resignations, including Nigel Farage’s July 2026 departure from Clacton amid standards scrutiny and Josh Simons’s May exit from Makerfield to facilitate Andy Burnham’s return to the Commons. Keir Starmer’s September 1 resignation from Holborn and St Pancras, following his departure as prime minister, triggered the writ for an October 8 contest, with the process managed by the relevant party whip and Clerk of the Crown. Trader focus centers on the frequency of such vacancies before the 2029 general election, driven by health issues, leadership challenges, or procedural moves in Labour, Reform UK, and other parties holding seats. The next confirmed parliamentary by-election remains October 8 in Holborn and St Pancras, with no additional writs announced as of mid-September.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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