Recent polls place Die Linke narrowly ahead or tied with the CDU in the race for the largest share of the vote in Berlin’s 20 September state election, with both parties in the low 20s, the AfD close behind, and the Greens, SPD, and smaller parties further back. This positioning stems from Linke candidate Elif Eralp’s campaign focus on security and social issues alongside voter shifts visible in multiple September surveys, while CDU candidate Stefan Evers has emphasized the record of the outgoing CDU-SPD senate. No two-party combination appears likely to secure a majority, increasing the relevance of post-election coalition arithmetic that favors a Linke-Greens-SPD arrangement over alternatives. The AfD remains isolated by the cross-party firewall, limiting its path to first place despite competitive polling numbers. Traders have priced the five-day window to election day accordingly, reflecting the narrow but consistent Linke edge in the latest fieldwork.

Sep 13 2026

Berlin election campaign intensifies with public candidate events

Events such as the Morgenpost election brunch and public debates engaged voters directly in the final week before the election, potentially influencing last-minute voter decisions and turnout.

Sep 12 2026

Polls show Die Linke leading Berlin election with 21-23% support

Linke rises to 63%3%

Final polls in early September showed Die Linke holding a narrow lead over CDU and AfD, reflecting a fragmented political landscape. This polling surge was mirrored in market prices, indicating strong expectations for Die Linke to win the most seats.

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