The State Duma election on September 18–20, 2026, uses a mixed system of 225 proportional-representation seats and 225 single-member districts under a 5% threshold. Recent WCIOM and FOM polls place KPRF support at roughly 9–12%, projecting 58–73 seats if results track closely with stated preferences. Trader consensus favoring under 60 seats, and especially below 50, reflects the managed nature of the contest: authorities have applied regional pressure on KPRF candidates, including detentions and disqualifications in strongholds such as Altai Krai, while limiting competitive single-member bids. Yabloko’s August removal from the ballot further channels protest votes among registered systemic parties. These structural and administrative factors, combined with United Russia’s expected dominance, anchor the current pricing ahead of the vote.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于少于50 48%
50–59 38%
60–69 8%
100+ 3.5%
少于50
48%
50–59
38%
60–69
8%
70–79
3%
80–89
1%
90–99
2%
100+
4%
少于50 48%
50–59 38%
60–69 8%
100+ 3.5%
少于50
48%
50–59
38%
60–69
8%
70–79
3%
80–89
1%
90–99
2%
100+
4%
This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) in the State Duma as a result of the next Russian legislative election.
If results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
市场开放时间: Sep 1, 2026, 8:52 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) in the State Duma as a result of the next Russian legislative election.
If results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
The State Duma election on September 18–20, 2026, uses a mixed system of 225 proportional-representation seats and 225 single-member districts under a 5% threshold. Recent WCIOM and FOM polls place KPRF support at roughly 9–12%, projecting 58–73 seats if results track closely with stated preferences. Trader consensus favoring under 60 seats, and especially below 50, reflects the managed nature of the contest: authorities have applied regional pressure on KPRF candidates, including detentions and disqualifications in strongholds such as Altai Krai, while limiting competitive single-member bids. Yabloko’s August removal from the ballot further channels protest votes among registered systemic parties. These structural and administrative factors, combined with United Russia’s expected dominance, anchor the current pricing ahead of the vote.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于



警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题