Recent polls ahead of Israel's October 27 Knesset election place The Democrats, the left-wing Zionist alliance of Labor and Meretz led by Yair Golan, between 8 and 11 seats in most surveys, with averages near 9-10 amid high undecided voters and multiple parties hovering near the 3.25% threshold. Bloc competition between the Netanyahu-aligned right and the broader opposition keeps margins narrow, while technical alliances and potential vote consolidation among center-left lists introduce volatility that could push The Democrats toward 12-14 seats or below 8 depending on turnout and late shifts. The September 9 candidate list deadline and ongoing primary results add near-term uncertainty reflected in the closely matched market pricing.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于14+ 41%
8-9 39%
12-13 35%
少于8 31%
少于8
31%
8-9
39%
10-11
38%
12-13
35%
14+
41%
14+ 41%
8-9 39%
12-13 35%
少于8 31%
少于8
31%
8-9
39%
10-11
38%
12-13
35%
14+
41%
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by The Democrats in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If The Democrats contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If The Democrats merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by The Democrats in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
市场开放时间: Sep 4, 2026, 6:13 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by The Democrats in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If The Democrats contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If The Democrats merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by The Democrats in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
Recent polls ahead of Israel's October 27 Knesset election place The Democrats, the left-wing Zionist alliance of Labor and Meretz led by Yair Golan, between 8 and 11 seats in most surveys, with averages near 9-10 amid high undecided voters and multiple parties hovering near the 3.25% threshold. Bloc competition between the Netanyahu-aligned right and the broader opposition keeps margins narrow, while technical alliances and potential vote consolidation among center-left lists introduce volatility that could push The Democrats toward 12-14 seats or below 8 depending on turnout and late shifts. The September 9 candidate list deadline and ongoing primary results add near-term uncertainty reflected in the closely matched market pricing.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于



警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题