Mojtaba Khamenei assumed Iran's supreme leadership in early March 2026 following the February 28 assassination of his father Ali Khamenei in U.S.-Israeli strikes. Since then, he has issued statements through state media readouts and written messages but has recorded no verified public appearances, live addresses, or confirmed footage. Reports attribute the absence to injuries sustained in the attack and heightened security risks during active regional conflict. Unverified videos and AI-generated clips have circulated without official confirmation. Traders assess low near-term odds for an appearance because the regime has managed governance through proxies and written directives amid wartime conditions, with no scheduled events such as major religious observances or diplomatic summits forcing visibility before late June. Any shift would likely require de-escalation or internal stabilization.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$1,834,616 交易量
2026-06-30
June 30
11%
$1,834,616 交易量
June 30
$150,330 交易量
11%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, is photographed or videotaped between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes," the images or video must be taken and released within this market's timeframe. The images or video must be authentic. Archival material, previously recorded footage, reused images, digitally altered content, AI-generated media, staged reproductions, or any posthumous releases will not qualify.
Digital appearances, including live broadcasts, will count for this market.
The resolution source for this market will be the image/video of Mojtaba Khamenei, and a consensus of credible reporting as to whether it is real.Mojtaba Khamenei assumed Iran's supreme leadership in early March 2026 following the February 28 assassination of his father Ali Khamenei in U.S.-Israeli strikes. Since then, he has issued statements through state media readouts and written messages but has recorded no verified public appearances, live addresses, or confirmed footage. Reports attribute the absence to injuries sustained in the attack and heightened security risks during active regional conflict. Unverified videos and AI-generated clips have circulated without official confirmation. Traders assess low near-term odds for an appearance because the regime has managed governance through proxies and written directives amid wartime conditions, with no scheduled events such as major religious observances or diplomatic summits forcing visibility before late June. Any shift would likely require de-escalation or internal stabilization.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, is photographed or videotaped between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes," the images or video must be taken and released within this market's timeframe. The images or video must be authentic. Archival material, previously recorded footage, reused images, digitally altered content, AI-generated media, staged reproductions, or any posthumous releases will not qualify.
Digital appearances, including live broadcasts, will count for this market.
The resolution source for this market will be the image/video of Mojtaba Khamenei, and a consensus of credible reporting as to whether it is real.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," the images or video must be taken and released within this market's timeframe. The images or video must be authentic. Archival material, previously recorded footage, reused images, digitally altered content, AI-generated media, staged reproductions, or any posthumous releases will not qualify.
Digital appearances, including live broadcasts, will count for this market.
The resolution source for this market will be the image/video of Mojtaba Khamenei, and a consensus of credible reporting as to whether it is real.
市场开放时间： May 26, 2026, 4:35 PM ET
交易量
$1,834,616结束日期
2026-04-30市场开放时间
May 26, 2026, 4:35 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, is photographed or videotaped between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes," the images or video must be taken and released within this market's timeframe. The images or video must be authentic. Archival material, previously recorded footage, reused images, digitally altered content, AI-generated media, staged reproductions, or any posthumous releases will not qualify.
Digital appearances, including live broadcasts, will count for this market.
The resolution source for this market will be the image/video of Mojtaba Khamenei, and a consensus of credible reporting as to whether it is real.Mojtaba Khamenei assumed Iran's supreme leadership in early March 2026 following the February 28 assassination of his father Ali Khamenei in U.S.-Israeli strikes. Since then, he has issued statements through state media readouts and written messages but has recorded no verified public appearances, live addresses, or confirmed footage. Reports attribute the absence to injuries sustained in the attack and heightened security risks during active regional conflict. Unverified videos and AI-generated clips have circulated without official confirmation. Traders assess low near-term odds for an appearance because the regime has managed governance through proxies and written directives amid wartime conditions, with no scheduled events such as major religious observances or diplomatic summits forcing visibility before late June. Any shift would likely require de-escalation or internal stabilization.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, is photographed or videotaped between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes," the images or video must be taken and released within this market's timeframe. The images or video must be authentic. Archival material, previously recorded footage, reused images, digitally altered content, AI-generated media, staged reproductions, or any posthumous releases will not qualify.
Digital appearances, including live broadcasts, will count for this market.
The resolution source for this market will be the image/video of Mojtaba Khamenei, and a consensus of credible reporting as to whether it is real.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," the images or video must be taken and released within this market's timeframe. The images or video must be authentic. Archival material, previously recorded footage, reused images, digitally altered content, AI-generated media, staged reproductions, or any posthumous releases will not qualify.
Digital appearances, including live broadcasts, will count for this market.
The resolution source for this market will be the image/video of Mojtaba Khamenei, and a consensus of credible reporting as to whether it is real.
交易量
$1,834,616结束日期
2026-04-30市场开放时间
May 26, 2026, 4:35 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Mojtaba Khamenei assumed Iran's supreme leadership in early March 2026 following the February 28 assassination of his father Ali Khamenei in U.S.-Israeli strikes. Since then, he has issued statements through state media readouts and written messages but has recorded no verified public appearances, live addresses, or confirmed footage. Reports attribute the absence to injuries sustained in the attack and heightened security risks during active regional conflict. Unverified videos and AI-generated clips have circulated without official confirmation. Traders assess low near-term odds for an appearance because the regime has managed governance through proxies and written directives amid wartime conditions, with no scheduled events such as major religious observances or diplomatic summits forcing visibility before late June. Any shift would likely require de-escalation or internal stabilization.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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