Fabio Roscioli leads trader consensus at 76.5% as the unified centre-right candidate for the September 27-28 by-election in the Calabria 05 constituency, backed by Forza Italia, Fratelli d'Italia, Lega, and allied lists. The seat opened after incumbent Francesco Cannizzaro resigned following his mayoral victory, in an area where the centre-right has long held strong support. Roscioli's national party role and Berlusconi family ties have consolidated backing, though his Roman background prompted local campaigning efforts. Frank Benedetto trails as the consolidated centre-left nominee supported by a broad coalition including the PD and M5S. Domenico Giannetta's independent run under Futuro Nazionale, linked to Roberto Vannacci, has split some right-leaning votes and accounts for his lower positioning, while Francesco Toscano and others register minimal implied probabilities ahead of the vote.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于法比奥·罗西奥利 77%
弗兰克·贝内代托 16%
多梅尼科·贾内塔 3.5%
弗朗切斯科·托斯卡诺 <1%
最新
最新
2026-09-28
法比奥·罗西奥利
77%
弗兰克·贝内代托
16%
多梅尼科·贾内塔
4%
弗朗切斯科·托斯卡诺
1%
法比奥·罗西奥利 77%
弗兰克·贝内代托 16%
多梅尼科·贾内塔 3.5%
弗朗切斯科·托斯卡诺 <1%
最新
最新
2026-09-28
法比奥·罗西奥利
$246 交易量
77%
弗兰克·贝内代托
$431 交易量
16%
多梅尼科·贾内塔
$703 交易量
4%
弗朗切斯科·托斯卡诺
$114 交易量
1%
A by-election in the single-member constituency of 05 - Reggio di Calabria, in the XXIII Calabria constituency, is scheduled to take place on September 27-28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Reggio di Calabria by-election to the Chamber of Deputies of Italy.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Italian Ministry of the Interior (https://elezioni.interno.gov.it/).Fabio Roscioli leads trader consensus at 76.5% as the unified centre-right candidate for the September 27-28 by-election in the Calabria 05 constituency, backed by Forza Italia, Fratelli d'Italia, Lega, and allied lists. The seat opened after incumbent Francesco Cannizzaro resigned following his mayoral victory, in an area where the centre-right has long held strong support. Roscioli's national party role and Berlusconi family ties have consolidated backing, though his Roman background prompted local campaigning efforts. Frank Benedetto trails as the consolidated centre-left nominee supported by a broad coalition including the PD and M5S. Domenico Giannetta's independent run under Futuro Nazionale, linked to Roberto Vannacci, has split some right-leaning votes and accounts for his lower positioning, while Francesco Toscano and others register minimal implied probabilities ahead of the vote.
A by-election in the single-member constituency of 05 - Reggio di Calabria, in the XXIII Calabria constituency, is scheduled to take place on September 27-28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Reggio di Calabria by-election to the Chamber of Deputies of Italy.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Italian Ministry of the Interior (https://elezioni.interno.gov.it/).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Reggio di Calabria by-election to the Chamber of Deputies of Italy.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Italian Ministry of the Interior (https://elezioni.interno.gov.it/).
市场开放时间： Sep 3, 2026, 5:37 PM ET
交易量
$1,494结束日期
2026-09-28市场开放时间
Sep 3, 2026, 5:37 PM ETA by-election in the single-member constituency of 05 - Reggio di Calabria, in the XXIII Calabria constituency, is scheduled to take place on September 27-28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Reggio di Calabria by-election to the Chamber of Deputies of Italy.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Italian Ministry of the Interior (https://elezioni.interno.gov.it/).Fabio Roscioli leads trader consensus at 76.5% as the unified centre-right candidate for the September 27-28 by-election in the Calabria 05 constituency, backed by Forza Italia, Fratelli d'Italia, Lega, and allied lists. The seat opened after incumbent Francesco Cannizzaro resigned following his mayoral victory, in an area where the centre-right has long held strong support. Roscioli's national party role and Berlusconi family ties have consolidated backing, though his Roman background prompted local campaigning efforts. Frank Benedetto trails as the consolidated centre-left nominee supported by a broad coalition including the PD and M5S. Domenico Giannetta's independent run under Futuro Nazionale, linked to Roberto Vannacci, has split some right-leaning votes and accounts for his lower positioning, while Francesco Toscano and others register minimal implied probabilities ahead of the vote.
A by-election in the single-member constituency of 05 - Reggio di Calabria, in the XXIII Calabria constituency, is scheduled to take place on September 27-28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Reggio di Calabria by-election to the Chamber of Deputies of Italy.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Italian Ministry of the Interior (https://elezioni.interno.gov.it/).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Reggio di Calabria by-election to the Chamber of Deputies of Italy.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Italian Ministry of the Interior (https://elezioni.interno.gov.it/).
交易量
$1,494结束日期
2026-09-28市场开放时间
Sep 3, 2026, 5:37 PM ETFabio Roscioli leads trader consensus at 76.5% as the unified centre-right candidate for the September 27-28 by-election in the Calabria 05 constituency, backed by Forza Italia, Fratelli d'Italia, Lega, and allied lists. The seat opened after incumbent Francesco Cannizzaro resigned following his mayoral victory, in an area where the centre-right has long held strong support. Roscioli's national party role and Berlusconi family ties have consolidated backing, though his Roman background prompted local campaigning efforts. Frank Benedetto trails as the consolidated centre-left nominee supported by a broad coalition including the PD and M5S. Domenico Giannetta's independent run under Futuro Nazionale, linked to Roberto Vannacci, has split some right-leaning votes and accounts for his lower positioning, while Francesco Toscano and others register minimal implied probabilities ahead of the vote.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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