United Russia maintains its commanding lead in the September 2026 State Duma election market due to its status as the ruling party with institutional control, including favorable electoral rules allocating half the seats via party lists and single-member districts where aligned candidates dominate. Preparations ahead of the vote, such as Dmitry Medvedev heading the party list alongside pro-war figures and security officials, reinforce its position amid ongoing restrictions on independent opposition and limited genuine competition. Polling from state-affiliated firms consistently shows United Russia ahead by wide margins, while regional contests have demonstrated similar outcomes through high turnout management and exclusion of challengers. Scenarios that could alter this include major late shifts in voter sentiment from economic pressures or conflict developments, though the compressed timeline to September 18–20 limits realistic pathways for other parties like the CPRF or LDPR to overtake it.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于统一俄罗斯党（ER） 98.6%
新人民党（NL） <1%
俄罗斯联邦共产党（KPRF） <1%
俄罗斯自由民主党（LDPR） <1%
$3,235,267 交易量
$3,235,267 交易量
2026-09-29
统一俄罗斯党（ER）
99%
新人民党（NL）
1%
俄罗斯联邦共产党（KPRF）
1%
俄罗斯自由民主党（LDPR）
<1%
亚布洛科
<1%
公正俄罗斯——为真理党（SRZP）
<1%
祖国党
<1%
公民平台（GP）
<1%
统一俄罗斯党（ER） 98.6%
新人民党（NL） <1%
俄罗斯联邦共产党（KPRF） <1%
俄罗斯自由民主党（LDPR） <1%
$3,235,267 交易量
$3,235,267 交易量
2026-09-29
统一俄罗斯党（ER）
$818,216 交易量
99%
新人民党（NL）
$147,517 交易量
1%
俄罗斯联邦共产党（KPRF）
$171,710 交易量
1%
俄罗斯自由民主党（LDPR）
$210,686 交易量
<1%
亚布洛科
$41,398 交易量
<1%
公正俄罗斯——为真理党（SRZP）
$739,625 交易量
<1%
祖国党
$502,708 交易量
<1%
公民平台（GP）
$603,407 交易量
<1%
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.United Russia maintains its commanding lead in the September 2026 State Duma election market due to its status as the ruling party with institutional control, including favorable electoral rules allocating half the seats via party lists and single-member districts where aligned candidates dominate. Preparations ahead of the vote, such as Dmitry Medvedev heading the party list alongside pro-war figures and security officials, reinforce its position amid ongoing restrictions on independent opposition and limited genuine competition. Polling from state-affiliated firms consistently shows United Russia ahead by wide margins, while regional contests have demonstrated similar outcomes through high turnout management and exclusion of challengers. Scenarios that could alter this include major late shifts in voter sentiment from economic pressures or conflict developments, though the compressed timeline to September 18–20 limits realistic pathways for other parties like the CPRF or LDPR to overtake it.
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
市场开放时间： Jan 7, 2026, 4:20 PM ET
交易量
$3,235,267结束日期
2026-09-20市场开放时间
Jan 7, 2026, 4:20 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.United Russia maintains its commanding lead in the September 2026 State Duma election market due to its status as the ruling party with institutional control, including favorable electoral rules allocating half the seats via party lists and single-member districts where aligned candidates dominate. Preparations ahead of the vote, such as Dmitry Medvedev heading the party list alongside pro-war figures and security officials, reinforce its position amid ongoing restrictions on independent opposition and limited genuine competition. Polling from state-affiliated firms consistently shows United Russia ahead by wide margins, while regional contests have demonstrated similar outcomes through high turnout management and exclusion of challengers. Scenarios that could alter this include major late shifts in voter sentiment from economic pressures or conflict developments, though the compressed timeline to September 18–20 limits realistic pathways for other parties like the CPRF or LDPR to overtake it.
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
交易量
$3,235,267结束日期
2026-09-20市场开放时间
Jan 7, 2026, 4:20 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...United Russia maintains its commanding lead in the September 2026 State Duma election market due to its status as the ruling party with institutional control, including favorable electoral rules allocating half the seats via party lists and single-member districts where aligned candidates dominate. Preparations ahead of the vote, such as Dmitry Medvedev heading the party list alongside pro-war figures and security officials, reinforce its position amid ongoing restrictions on independent opposition and limited genuine competition. Polling from state-affiliated firms consistently shows United Russia ahead by wide margins, while regional contests have demonstrated similar outcomes through high turnout management and exclusion of challengers. Scenarios that could alter this include major late shifts in voter sentiment from economic pressures or conflict developments, though the compressed timeline to September 18–20 limits realistic pathways for other parties like the CPRF or LDPR to overtake it.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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