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icon for EThekwini (德班)的下一任市长?

EThekwini (德班)的下一任市长?

icon for EThekwini (德班)的下一任市长?

EThekwini (德班)的下一任市长?

Zwakele Mncwango 48%

赞迪勒·古梅德 45%

哈尼夫·胡森 0

Hlengiwe Mkhaliphi 0

Polymarket
最新

Zwakele Mncwango 48%

赞迪勒·古梅德 45%

哈尼夫·胡森 0

Hlengiwe Mkhaliphi 0

Polymarket
最新
icon for Zwakele Mncwango

Zwakele Mncwango

$0 交易量

48%

icon for 赞迪勒·古梅德

赞迪勒·古梅德

$0 交易量

45%

icon for 哈尼夫·胡森

哈尼夫·胡森

$21 交易量

45%

icon for Hlengiwe Mkhaliphi

Hlengiwe Mkhaliphi

$21 交易量

44%

icon for 西里尔·哈巴

西里尔·哈巴

$21 交易量

57%

Municipal elections are currently scheduled to be held in South Africa on November 4, 2026. eThekwini’s mayor will be elected by the newly constituted council at its inaugural meeting, which is expected to be held within 14 days of the municipal election, by November 18, 2026. This market will resolve to the first individual who officially assumes the role of Mayor of eThekwini following the 2026 South African municipal elections. A qualifying individual must be elected mayor by the eThekwini Municipal Council. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of South Africa, including the Electoral Commission of South Africa (https://elections.org.za); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Upcoming South African local government elections, expected in November 2026, shape trader views on the eThekwini mayoral contest, where multiple parties field candidates amid a fragmented political landscape. Recent announcements, including the Democratic Alliance naming Haniff Hoosen and the African National Congress positioning Cyril Xaba as its likely choice, have kept leading probabilities closely aligned near even odds. Zandile Gumede's lower standing reflects her shift to another party after earlier recall, while smaller shares for figures such as Hlengiwe Mkhaliphi and Zwakele Mncwango highlight limited current momentum. Coalition dynamics typical of hung councils, regional voting patterns, and upcoming candidate events could shift assessments before ballots close.

Municipal elections are currently scheduled to be held in South Africa on November 4, 2026. eThekwini’s mayor will be elected by the newly constituted council at its inaugural meeting, which is expected to be held within 14 days of the municipal election, by November 18, 2026.

This market will resolve to the first individual who officially assumes the role of Mayor of eThekwini following the 2026 South African municipal elections.

A qualifying individual must be elected mayor by the eThekwini Municipal Council. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of South Africa, including the Electoral Commission of South Africa (https://elections.org.za); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$63
结束日期
2026-11-18
市场开放时间
Aug 18, 2026, 10:57 AM ET
Municipal elections are currently scheduled to be held in South Africa on November 4, 2026. eThekwini’s mayor will be elected by the newly constituted council at its inaugural meeting, which is expected to be held within 14 days of the municipal election, by November 18, 2026. This market will resolve to the first individual who officially assumes the role of Mayor of eThekwini following the 2026 South African municipal elections. A qualifying individual must be elected mayor by the eThekwini Municipal Council. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of South Africa, including the Electoral Commission of South Africa (https://elections.org.za); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Municipal elections are currently scheduled to be held in South Africa on November 4, 2026. eThekwini’s mayor will be elected by the newly constituted council at its inaugural meeting, which is expected to be held within 14 days of the municipal election, by November 18, 2026. This market will resolve to the first individual who officially assumes the role of Mayor of eThekwini following the 2026 South African municipal elections. A qualifying individual must be elected mayor by the eThekwini Municipal Council. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of South Africa, including the Electoral Commission of South Africa (https://elections.org.za); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Upcoming South African local government elections, expected in November 2026, shape trader views on the eThekwini mayoral contest, where multiple parties field candidates amid a fragmented political landscape. Recent announcements, including the Democratic Alliance naming Haniff Hoosen and the African National Congress positioning Cyril Xaba as its likely choice, have kept leading probabilities closely aligned near even odds. Zandile Gumede's lower standing reflects her shift to another party after earlier recall, while smaller shares for figures such as Hlengiwe Mkhaliphi and Zwakele Mncwango highlight limited current momentum. Coalition dynamics typical of hung councils, regional voting patterns, and upcoming candidate events could shift assessments before ballots close.

Municipal elections are currently scheduled to be held in South Africa on November 4, 2026. eThekwini’s mayor will be elected by the newly constituted council at its inaugural meeting, which is expected to be held within 14 days of the municipal election, by November 18, 2026.

This market will resolve to the first individual who officially assumes the role of Mayor of eThekwini following the 2026 South African municipal elections.

A qualifying individual must be elected mayor by the eThekwini Municipal Council. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of South Africa, including the Electoral Commission of South Africa (https://elections.org.za); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$63
结束日期
2026-11-18
市场开放时间
Aug 18, 2026, 10:57 AM ET
Municipal elections are currently scheduled to be held in South Africa on November 4, 2026. eThekwini’s mayor will be elected by the newly constituted council at its inaugural meeting, which is expected to be held within 14 days of the municipal election, by November 18, 2026. This market will resolve to the first individual who officially assumes the role of Mayor of eThekwini following the 2026 South African municipal elections. A qualifying individual must be elected mayor by the eThekwini Municipal Council. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of South Africa, including the Electoral Commission of South Africa (https://elections.org.za); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"EThekwini (德班)的下一任市长?"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 5 个可能结果的预测市场,交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"西里尔·哈巴",概率为 57%,其次是"Zwakele Mncwango",概率为 48%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如,价格为 57¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 57%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

"EThekwini (德班)的下一任市长?"是 Polymarket 上新创建的市场,于Aug 18, 2026上线。作为一个新市场,这是你率先设定赔率并建立初始价格信号的机会。你也可以将本页加入书签,以便跟踪交易量和活动。

要在"EThekwini (德班)的下一任市长?"上交易,浏览本页上列出的 5 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓,选择你认为最可能的结果,选择"是"支持或"否"反对,输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确,你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确,支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"EThekwini (德班)的下一任市长?"的当前领先者是"西里尔·哈巴",概率为 57%,意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 57%。紧随其后的结果是"Zwakele Mncwango",概率为 48%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"EThekwini (德班)的下一任市长?"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则,因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。