The Falealili No. 1 by-election in Samoa stems from the Electoral Court's March 2026 ruling, upheld on appeal, that voided FAST Deputy Prime Minister Toelupe Poumulinuku Onesemo's 2025 general election win on bribery grounds following a petition by HRPP candidate Tuiloma Tusa Laniselota Lameko. Both are barred from contesting under electoral law, leaving a wide field of candidates including independents and representatives from FAST, HRPP, and smaller groups. With no dominant frontrunner identified and all listed outcomes priced equally at market consensus levels, trader sentiment reflects the open nature of the multi-candidate contest in a constituency where local village networks, party endorsements, and turnout dynamics typically decide close races. Scheduled writ issuance and formal nominations remain key upcoming milestones that could consolidate support behind particular contenders.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Tuiloma Tusa Siiliili Laniselota Lameko 99%
Fuaolemoli Falaila Faausu Allen 26%
Seumafaleupolu Aperila Vaa Tiai 25%
Si'a Fa'aletonu Alec Latu 25%
Tuiloma Tusa Siiliili Laniselota Lameko
99%
Fuaolemoli Falaila Faausu Allen
26%
Seumafaleupolu Aperila Vaa Tiai
25%
Si'a Fa'aletonu Alec Latu
25%
Taveuveu Willie Tuatagaloa Fetu
24%
Auseugalelei Uiti Lagavale
23%
帕特亚·塔韦乌韦乌·塔阿玛勒托阿·艾波维·帕特亚
23%
Tuiloma Tusa Siiliili Laniselota Lameko 99%
Fuaolemoli Falaila Faausu Allen 26%
Seumafaleupolu Aperila Vaa Tiai 25%
Si'a Fa'aletonu Alec Latu 25%
Tuiloma Tusa Siiliili Laniselota Lameko
99%
Fuaolemoli Falaila Faausu Allen
26%
Seumafaleupolu Aperila Vaa Tiai
25%
Si'a Fa'aletonu Alec Latu
25%
Taveuveu Willie Tuatagaloa Fetu
24%
Auseugalelei Uiti Lagavale
23%
帕特亚·塔韦乌韦乌·塔阿玛勒托阿·艾波维·帕特亚
23%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Falealili 1 by-election to the Legislative Assembly of Samoa.
If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Office of the Electoral Commission of Samoa (https://www.oec.gov.ws/; https://www.facebook.com/oecsamoa).
市场开放时间： Aug 31, 2026, 3:59 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Falealili 1 by-election to the Legislative Assembly of Samoa.
If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Office of the Electoral Commission of Samoa (https://www.oec.gov.ws/; https://www.facebook.com/oecsamoa).
The Falealili No. 1 by-election in Samoa stems from the Electoral Court's March 2026 ruling, upheld on appeal, that voided FAST Deputy Prime Minister Toelupe Poumulinuku Onesemo's 2025 general election win on bribery grounds following a petition by HRPP candidate Tuiloma Tusa Laniselota Lameko. Both are barred from contesting under electoral law, leaving a wide field of candidates including independents and representatives from FAST, HRPP, and smaller groups. With no dominant frontrunner identified and all listed outcomes priced equally at market consensus levels, trader sentiment reflects the open nature of the multi-candidate contest in a constituency where local village networks, party endorsements, and turnout dynamics typically decide close races. Scheduled writ issuance and formal nominations remain key upcoming milestones that could consolidate support behind particular contenders.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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