**Domestic abuse allegations against Rep. Max Miller by his ex-wife, Emily Moreno (daughter of Sen. Bernie Moreno), emerged in late July 2026 and triggered calls from Ohio Republican leaders, including both U.S. senators, for him to exit the OH-07 race.** Miller has repeatedly denied the claims, noted the absence of criminal charges, requested a House Ethics Committee review, and publicly committed to remaining on the ballot. He loaned his campaign $1 million and released case documents to counter the accusations. Key Ohio procedural deadlines for Republican Party officials to select a replacement nominee passed in early August without his withdrawal, locking him in as the nominee. He faces Democrat Brian Poindexter in the November 3, 2026 general election. Polls since the allegations surfaced show the race tightening or shifting toward a toss-up, with Poindexter leading in some surveys and Democratic groups increasing support for the challenger. These factors explain the low implied probabilities in related prediction markets for Miller dropping out by late summer or early fall dates. No further major withdrawal windows remain before the general election, and Miller has shown no signs of changing course.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$164,711 交易量

9月30日?
3%
$164,711 交易量

9月30日?
3%
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Max Miller or his official/legal representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间: Aug 6, 2026, 3:41 PM ET
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Max Miller or his official/legal representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
**Domestic abuse allegations against Rep. Max Miller by his ex-wife, Emily Moreno (daughter of Sen. Bernie Moreno), emerged in late July 2026 and triggered calls from Ohio Republican leaders, including both U.S. senators, for him to exit the OH-07 race.** Miller has repeatedly denied the claims, noted the absence of criminal charges, requested a House Ethics Committee review, and publicly committed to remaining on the ballot. He loaned his campaign $1 million and released case documents to counter the accusations. Key Ohio procedural deadlines for Republican Party officials to select a replacement nominee passed in early August without his withdrawal, locking him in as the nominee. He faces Democrat Brian Poindexter in the November 3, 2026 general election. Polls since the allegations surfaced show the race tightening or shifting toward a toss-up, with Poindexter leading in some surveys and Democratic groups increasing support for the challenger. These factors explain the low implied probabilities in related prediction markets for Miller dropping out by late summer or early fall dates. No further major withdrawal windows remain before the general election, and Miller has shown no signs of changing course.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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