Recent polling averages for the September 20, 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Landtag election show the AfD holding a consistent 7-point lead over the SPD, with AfD support near 36% and the SPD near 29%, while the CDU and smaller parties trail further back. This positioning reflects sustained AfD strength in eastern states amid national trends favoring the party, combined with declining support for the incumbent SPD-Left coalition under Minister-President Manuela Schwesig. Traders price the AfD as the clear plurality favorite because no other party has closed the gap in surveys conducted through mid-August, and coalition barriers for rivals make an AfD plurality the most probable outcome under the current electoral dynamics.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于AfD 86%
社民党 16%
左翼党 <1%
FW <1%
$460,199 交易量
$460,199 交易量
2026-09-19
AfD
86%
社民党
16%
左翼党
<1%
FW
<1%
基民盟
<1%
格鲁内党
<1%
自民党
<1%
BSW
<1%
AfD 86%
社民党 16%
左翼党 <1%
FW <1%
$460,199 交易量
$460,199 交易量
2026-09-19
AfD
$83,970 交易量
86%
社民党
$96,548 交易量
16%
左翼党
$27,668 交易量
<1%
FW
$36,709 交易量
<1%
基民盟
$44,445 交易量
<1%
格鲁内党
$71,444 交易量
<1%
自民党
$77,089 交易量
<1%
BSW
$22,326 交易量
<1%
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).Recent polling averages for the September 20, 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Landtag election show the AfD holding a consistent 7-point lead over the SPD, with AfD support near 36% and the SPD near 29%, while the CDU and smaller parties trail further back. This positioning reflects sustained AfD strength in eastern states amid national trends favoring the party, combined with declining support for the incumbent SPD-Left coalition under Minister-President Manuela Schwesig. Traders price the AfD as the clear plurality favorite because no other party has closed the gap in surveys conducted through mid-August, and coalition barriers for rivals make an AfD plurality the most probable outcome under the current electoral dynamics.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).
市场开放时间： Feb 11, 2026, 3:17 PM ET
交易量
$460,199结束日期
2026-09-20市场开放时间
Feb 11, 2026, 3:17 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).Recent polling averages for the September 20, 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Landtag election show the AfD holding a consistent 7-point lead over the SPD, with AfD support near 36% and the SPD near 29%, while the CDU and smaller parties trail further back. This positioning reflects sustained AfD strength in eastern states amid national trends favoring the party, combined with declining support for the incumbent SPD-Left coalition under Minister-President Manuela Schwesig. Traders price the AfD as the clear plurality favorite because no other party has closed the gap in surveys conducted through mid-August, and coalition barriers for rivals make an AfD plurality the most probable outcome under the current electoral dynamics.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).
交易量
$460,199结束日期
2026-09-20市场开放时间
Feb 11, 2026, 3:17 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent polling averages for the September 20, 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Landtag election show the AfD holding a consistent 7-point lead over the SPD, with AfD support near 36% and the SPD near 29%, while the CDU and smaller parties trail further back. This positioning reflects sustained AfD strength in eastern states amid national trends favoring the party, combined with declining support for the incumbent SPD-Left coalition under Minister-President Manuela Schwesig. Traders price the AfD as the clear plurality favorite because no other party has closed the gap in surveys conducted through mid-August, and coalition barriers for rivals make an AfD plurality the most probable outcome under the current electoral dynamics.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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