Recent polls from July 2026 place AfD first at 36 percent and SPD second at 29 percent, with Die Linke holding steady near 12 percent ahead of CDU at 9 percent and smaller parties below 5 percent each. This consistent ordering across Infratest dimap and INSA surveys underpins trader consensus favoring Linke for third place six weeks before the September 20 Landtag election. SPD gains have narrowed the AfD lead without altering the middle of the field, while CDU support continues to erode. Low probabilities for Grüne, FDP, BSW, and others reflect polling showing they trail or hover near the five-percent threshold for Landtag entry, limiting upside scenarios for third place absent major late shifts in turnout or coalition dynamics.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Linke 64%
基民盟 34%
自由民主党（FDP） 3.3%
格林党 2.5%
最新
最新
2026-09-20
Linke
64%
基民盟
34%
自由民主党（FDP）
3%
格林党
3%
德国选择党
2%
SPD
2%
BSW
2%
FW
1%
Linke 64%
基民盟 34%
自由民主党（FDP） 3.3%
格林党 2.5%
最新
最新
2026-09-20
Linke
$2,753 交易量
64%
基民盟
$870 交易量
34%
自由民主党（FDP）
$156 交易量
3%
格林党
$123 交易量
3%
德国选择党
$103 交易量
2%
SPD
$94 交易量
2%
BSW
$227 交易量
2%
FW
$231 交易量
1%
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).Recent polls from July 2026 place AfD first at 36 percent and SPD second at 29 percent, with Die Linke holding steady near 12 percent ahead of CDU at 9 percent and smaller parties below 5 percent each. This consistent ordering across Infratest dimap and INSA surveys underpins trader consensus favoring Linke for third place six weeks before the September 20 Landtag election. SPD gains have narrowed the AfD lead without altering the middle of the field, while CDU support continues to erode. Low probabilities for Grüne, FDP, BSW, and others reflect polling showing they trail or hover near the five-percent threshold for Landtag entry, limiting upside scenarios for third place absent major late shifts in turnout or coalition dynamics.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).
市场开放时间： Aug 6, 2026, 8:56 PM ET
交易量
$4,557结束日期
2026-09-20市场开放时间
Aug 6, 2026, 8:56 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).Recent polls from July 2026 place AfD first at 36 percent and SPD second at 29 percent, with Die Linke holding steady near 12 percent ahead of CDU at 9 percent and smaller parties below 5 percent each. This consistent ordering across Infratest dimap and INSA surveys underpins trader consensus favoring Linke for third place six weeks before the September 20 Landtag election. SPD gains have narrowed the AfD lead without altering the middle of the field, while CDU support continues to erode. Low probabilities for Grüne, FDP, BSW, and others reflect polling showing they trail or hover near the five-percent threshold for Landtag entry, limiting upside scenarios for third place absent major late shifts in turnout or coalition dynamics.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).
交易量
$4,557结束日期
2026-09-20市场开放时间
Aug 6, 2026, 8:56 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polls from July 2026 place AfD first at 36 percent and SPD second at 29 percent, with Die Linke holding steady near 12 percent ahead of CDU at 9 percent and smaller parties below 5 percent each. This consistent ordering across Infratest dimap and INSA surveys underpins trader consensus favoring Linke for third place six weeks before the September 20 Landtag election. SPD gains have narrowed the AfD lead without altering the middle of the field, while CDU support continues to erode. Low probabilities for Grüne, FDP, BSW, and others reflect polling showing they trail or hover near the five-percent threshold for Landtag entry, limiting upside scenarios for third place absent major late shifts in turnout or coalition dynamics.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题