Recent polling in Mecklenburg-Vorpommern shows the AfD holding a stable lead at 35–36% ahead of the 20 September 2026 Landtag election, placing it ahead of the SPD at 28–29% and smaller parties including the Linke and CDU. This positions the AfD for roughly 28–32 seats in the 71-seat parliament under proportional representation rules, with the market’s tight distribution across the 24–35 seat range reflecting limited movement in surveys since spring and uncertainty over final turnout, smaller-party thresholds, and exact vote shares. The AfD’s candidate Leif-Erik Holm has emphasized a moderated profile, while incumbent SPD Minister-President Manuela Schwesig faces declining popularity in an eastern state where the party has long been strong. Upcoming results in Saxony-Anhalt on 6 September could influence momentum, but current data indicate steady rather than accelerating AfD support.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于28-31 33%
24-27 31%
32-35 25%
20-23 11%
最新
最新
2026-09-20
<20
4%
20-23
11%
24-27
31%
28-31
33%
32-35
33%
36+
4%
28-31 33%
24-27 31%
32-35 25%
20-23 11%
最新
最新
2026-09-20
<20
$55 交易量
4%
20-23
$5 交易量
11%
24-27
$5 交易量
31%
28-31
$125 交易量
33%
32-35
$110 交易量
33%
36+
$166 交易量
4%
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the AfD party in the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern as a result of this election.
This market will resolve according to the total number of seats officially attributed to the specified party as a result of the election. This includes all seats attributed to that party, regardless of whether they are won directly or allocated through party lists, compensatory mechanisms, or any other component of the applicable electoral system.
If the specified party contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the specified party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).Recent polling in Mecklenburg-Vorpommern shows the AfD holding a stable lead at 35–36% ahead of the 20 September 2026 Landtag election, placing it ahead of the SPD at 28–29% and smaller parties including the Linke and CDU. This positions the AfD for roughly 28–32 seats in the 71-seat parliament under proportional representation rules, with the market’s tight distribution across the 24–35 seat range reflecting limited movement in surveys since spring and uncertainty over final turnout, smaller-party thresholds, and exact vote shares. The AfD’s candidate Leif-Erik Holm has emphasized a moderated profile, while incumbent SPD Minister-President Manuela Schwesig faces declining popularity in an eastern state where the party has long been strong. Upcoming results in Saxony-Anhalt on 6 September could influence momentum, but current data indicate steady rather than accelerating AfD support.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the AfD party in the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern as a result of this election.
This market will resolve according to the total number of seats officially attributed to the specified party as a result of the election. This includes all seats attributed to that party, regardless of whether they are won directly or allocated through party lists, compensatory mechanisms, or any other component of the applicable electoral system.
If the specified party contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the specified party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the AfD party in the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern as a result of this election.
This market will resolve according to the total number of seats officially attributed to the specified party as a result of the election. This includes all seats attributed to that party, regardless of whether they are won directly or allocated through party lists, compensatory mechanisms, or any other component of the applicable electoral system.
If the specified party contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the specified party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).
市场开放时间： Aug 6, 2026, 9:00 PM ET
交易量
$467结束日期
2026-09-20市场开放时间
Aug 6, 2026, 9:00 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the AfD party in the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern as a result of this election.
This market will resolve according to the total number of seats officially attributed to the specified party as a result of the election. This includes all seats attributed to that party, regardless of whether they are won directly or allocated through party lists, compensatory mechanisms, or any other component of the applicable electoral system.
If the specified party contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the specified party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).Recent polling in Mecklenburg-Vorpommern shows the AfD holding a stable lead at 35–36% ahead of the 20 September 2026 Landtag election, placing it ahead of the SPD at 28–29% and smaller parties including the Linke and CDU. This positions the AfD for roughly 28–32 seats in the 71-seat parliament under proportional representation rules, with the market’s tight distribution across the 24–35 seat range reflecting limited movement in surveys since spring and uncertainty over final turnout, smaller-party thresholds, and exact vote shares. The AfD’s candidate Leif-Erik Holm has emphasized a moderated profile, while incumbent SPD Minister-President Manuela Schwesig faces declining popularity in an eastern state where the party has long been strong. Upcoming results in Saxony-Anhalt on 6 September could influence momentum, but current data indicate steady rather than accelerating AfD support.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the AfD party in the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern as a result of this election.
This market will resolve according to the total number of seats officially attributed to the specified party as a result of the election. This includes all seats attributed to that party, regardless of whether they are won directly or allocated through party lists, compensatory mechanisms, or any other component of the applicable electoral system.
If the specified party contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the specified party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the AfD party in the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern as a result of this election.
This market will resolve according to the total number of seats officially attributed to the specified party as a result of the election. This includes all seats attributed to that party, regardless of whether they are won directly or allocated through party lists, compensatory mechanisms, or any other component of the applicable electoral system.
If the specified party contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the specified party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).
交易量
$467结束日期
2026-09-20市场开放时间
Aug 6, 2026, 9:00 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling in Mecklenburg-Vorpommern shows the AfD holding a stable lead at 35–36% ahead of the 20 September 2026 Landtag election, placing it ahead of the SPD at 28–29% and smaller parties including the Linke and CDU. This positions the AfD for roughly 28–32 seats in the 71-seat parliament under proportional representation rules, with the market’s tight distribution across the 24–35 seat range reflecting limited movement in surveys since spring and uncertainty over final turnout, smaller-party thresholds, and exact vote shares. The AfD’s candidate Leif-Erik Holm has emphasized a moderated profile, while incumbent SPD Minister-President Manuela Schwesig faces declining popularity in an eastern state where the party has long been strong. Upcoming results in Saxony-Anhalt on 6 September could influence momentum, but current data indicate steady rather than accelerating AfD support.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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