Incumbent Olivia Chow holds a commanding position in the October 26, 2026 Toronto mayoral race, supported by her established profile from the 2023 by-election victory and recent formal declaration of candidacy in May. Recent polls indicate a tightening contest, with Chow at 47 percent against Councillor Brad Bradford’s 40 percent and former MP Chris Alexander at 10 percent, though trader consensus assigns her an overwhelming implied probability. Bradford’s platform emphasizing public safety and affordability has consolidated opposition support, while Alexander’s late entry and limited name recognition have capped his market share. Nominations close August 21, leaving little time for further major entrants. Low probabilities for figures like John Tory and others reflect their minimal campaign activity and historical polling weakness in the current cycle.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Olivia Chow 85%
Brad Bradford 15%
Marco Mendicino <1%
John Tory <1%
$131,431 交易量
$131,431 交易量
Olivia Chow
85%
Brad Bradford
15%
Marco Mendicino
1%
John Tory
1%
Anthony Furey
<1%
Kevin Clarke
<1%
Ana Bailão
<1%
Michael Ford
<1%
Olivia Chow 85%
Brad Bradford 15%
Marco Mendicino <1%
John Tory <1%
$131,431 交易量
$131,431 交易量
Olivia Chow
85%
Brad Bradford
15%
Marco Mendicino
1%
John Tory
1%
Anthony Furey
<1%
Kevin Clarke
<1%
Ana Bailão
<1%
Michael Ford
<1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Toronto as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Toronto.
市场开放时间： Apr 1, 2026, 2:37 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Toronto as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Toronto.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Incumbent Olivia Chow holds a commanding position in the October 26, 2026 Toronto mayoral race, supported by her established profile from the 2023 by-election victory and recent formal declaration of candidacy in May. Recent polls indicate a tightening contest, with Chow at 47 percent against Councillor Brad Bradford’s 40 percent and former MP Chris Alexander at 10 percent, though trader consensus assigns her an overwhelming implied probability. Bradford’s platform emphasizing public safety and affordability has consolidated opposition support, while Alexander’s late entry and limited name recognition have capped his market share. Nominations close August 21, leaving little time for further major entrants. Low probabilities for figures like John Tory and others reflect their minimal campaign activity and historical polling weakness in the current cycle.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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