Aisha Wahab holds an overwhelming edge in the August 18 special general election for California's 14th congressional district because she finished first by more than 20 points in both the June 16 special primary and the June 2 primary for the full term, advancing comfortably ahead of Bay Area Rapid Transit Board President Melissa Hernandez. The heavily Democratic Bay Area seat, vacated after Eric Swalwell's April resignation, is expected to remain in Democratic hands, and Wahab's state senate record plus strong primary showings have shaped trader consensus around her candidacy. Hernandez has raised and spent more in the runoff but trails significantly in prior vote tallies. Minor candidates such as Carin Elam, Matt Ortega, Rakhi Israni Singh, Victor Aguilar Jr., and Wendy Huang received negligible support and did not advance, leaving the outcome between the two leading Democrats.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Aisha Wahab 86%
Melissa Hernandez 12.5%
Carin Elam <1%
Matt Ortega <1%
$27,177 交易量
$27,177 交易量
Aisha Wahab
86%
Melissa Hernandez
13%
Wendy Huang
<1%
Carin Elam
<1%
Matt Ortega
<1%
Rakhi Israni Singh
<1%
Victor Aguilar Jr.
<1%
Aisha Wahab 86%
Melissa Hernandez 12.5%
Carin Elam <1%
Matt Ortega <1%
$27,177 交易量
$27,177 交易量
Aisha Wahab
86%
Melissa Hernandez
13%
Wendy Huang
<1%
Carin Elam
<1%
Matt Ortega
<1%
Rakhi Israni Singh
<1%
Victor Aguilar Jr.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the winner of this election.
This market includes any potential runoff election or second round.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including: https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
市场开放时间： Apr 16, 2026, 1:41 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the winner of this election.
This market includes any potential runoff election or second round.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including: https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Aisha Wahab holds an overwhelming edge in the August 18 special general election for California's 14th congressional district because she finished first by more than 20 points in both the June 16 special primary and the June 2 primary for the full term, advancing comfortably ahead of Bay Area Rapid Transit Board President Melissa Hernandez. The heavily Democratic Bay Area seat, vacated after Eric Swalwell's April resignation, is expected to remain in Democratic hands, and Wahab's state senate record plus strong primary showings have shaped trader consensus around her candidacy. Hernandez has raised and spent more in the runoff but trails significantly in prior vote tallies. Minor candidates such as Carin Elam, Matt Ortega, Rakhi Israni Singh, Victor Aguilar Jr., and Wendy Huang received negligible support and did not advance, leaving the outcome between the two leading Democrats.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题