Marcye Scott leads trader sentiment in the GA-13 special election market at 88.4% implied probability, reflecting her strong first-round performance and name recognition as the daughter of the late incumbent. In the July 28 special election, Scott captured 46% of the vote while Everton Blair finished second at 37%, with all other candidates below 9%, sending the two Democrats to an August 25 runoff in the heavily Democratic Atlanta-area district. Blair trails at 11.5% amid limited polling and consolidation behind Scott’s plurality. The remaining candidates and “other” options trade near 50% or lower, consistent with their elimination or negligible support. The district’s partisan composition and Scott’s lead in the initial contest anchor current pricing ahead of the runoff.