Delaware's at-large congressional district maintains a strong Democratic tilt, reinforced by Sarah McBride's 2024 victory margin exceeding 16 points and consistent party performance in statewide races. Incumbent McBride faces no significant primary opposition and enters the general election against a fragmented Republican field featuring multiple lesser-known candidates after one early withdrawal. Nonpartisan race ratings classify the contest as safe or solid Democratic, aligning with the state's voter registration edge and historical results. This environment underpins the current trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. Potential shifts could arise from an unexpected national political wave, a late scandal involving the incumbent, or unusually high Republican turnout, though structural factors limit the likelihood of such changes before November 2026.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$22,868 交易量
$22,868 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
95%
共和党
6%
$22,868 交易量
$22,868 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
$5,250 交易量
95%
共和党
$17,619 交易量
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the DE-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Delaware's at-large congressional district maintains a strong Democratic tilt, reinforced by Sarah McBride's 2024 victory margin exceeding 16 points and consistent party performance in statewide races. Incumbent McBride faces no significant primary opposition and enters the general election against a fragmented Republican field featuring multiple lesser-known candidates after one early withdrawal. Nonpartisan race ratings classify the contest as safe or solid Democratic, aligning with the state's voter registration edge and historical results. This environment underpins the current trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. Potential shifts could arise from an unexpected national political wave, a late scandal involving the incumbent, or unusually high Republican turnout, though structural factors limit the likelihood of such changes before November 2026.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the DE-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ET
交易量
$22,868结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the DE-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Delaware's at-large congressional district maintains a strong Democratic tilt, reinforced by Sarah McBride's 2024 victory margin exceeding 16 points and consistent party performance in statewide races. Incumbent McBride faces no significant primary opposition and enters the general election against a fragmented Republican field featuring multiple lesser-known candidates after one early withdrawal. Nonpartisan race ratings classify the contest as safe or solid Democratic, aligning with the state's voter registration edge and historical results. This environment underpins the current trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. Potential shifts could arise from an unexpected national political wave, a late scandal involving the incumbent, or unusually high Republican turnout, though structural factors limit the likelihood of such changes before November 2026.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the DE-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$22,868结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Delaware's at-large congressional district maintains a strong Democratic tilt, reinforced by Sarah McBride's 2024 victory margin exceeding 16 points and consistent party performance in statewide races. Incumbent McBride faces no significant primary opposition and enters the general election against a fragmented Republican field featuring multiple lesser-known candidates after one early withdrawal. Nonpartisan race ratings classify the contest as safe or solid Democratic, aligning with the state's voter registration edge and historical results. This environment underpins the current trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. Potential shifts could arise from an unexpected national political wave, a late scandal involving the incumbent, or unusually high Republican turnout, though structural factors limit the likelihood of such changes before November 2026.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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