The Massachusetts 2nd congressional district's strong Democratic partisan lean, exceeding D+13 on the Cook Partisan Voting Index, anchors trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 94.5 percent. Incumbent Jim McGovern secured reelection in 2024 with 68.6 percent of the vote and holds presumptive status ahead of the September 1, 2026 Democratic primary, while no Republican candidates have filed for either the primary or general election on November 3. Consistent district voting patterns and the absence of competitive challengers reinforce this positioning. Scenarios that could realistically narrow the margin include a late Republican filing or an unexpected primary development, though current filing deadlines and historical results indicate limited pathways for reversal before the general election.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$55,122 交易量
$55,122 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
95%
共和党
6%
$55,122 交易量
$55,122 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
$32,718 交易量
95%
共和党
$22,404 交易量
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Massachusetts 2nd congressional district's strong Democratic partisan lean, exceeding D+13 on the Cook Partisan Voting Index, anchors trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 94.5 percent. Incumbent Jim McGovern secured reelection in 2024 with 68.6 percent of the vote and holds presumptive status ahead of the September 1, 2026 Democratic primary, while no Republican candidates have filed for either the primary or general election on November 3. Consistent district voting patterns and the absence of competitive challengers reinforce this positioning. Scenarios that could realistically narrow the margin include a late Republican filing or an unexpected primary development, though current filing deadlines and historical results indicate limited pathways for reversal before the general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
交易量
$55,122结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Massachusetts 2nd congressional district's strong Democratic partisan lean, exceeding D+13 on the Cook Partisan Voting Index, anchors trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 94.5 percent. Incumbent Jim McGovern secured reelection in 2024 with 68.6 percent of the vote and holds presumptive status ahead of the September 1, 2026 Democratic primary, while no Republican candidates have filed for either the primary or general election on November 3. Consistent district voting patterns and the absence of competitive challengers reinforce this positioning. Scenarios that could realistically narrow the margin include a late Republican filing or an unexpected primary development, though current filing deadlines and historical results indicate limited pathways for reversal before the general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$55,122结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The Massachusetts 2nd congressional district's strong Democratic partisan lean, exceeding D+13 on the Cook Partisan Voting Index, anchors trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 94.5 percent. Incumbent Jim McGovern secured reelection in 2024 with 68.6 percent of the vote and holds presumptive status ahead of the September 1, 2026 Democratic primary, while no Republican candidates have filed for either the primary or general election on November 3. Consistent district voting patterns and the absence of competitive challengers reinforce this positioning. Scenarios that could realistically narrow the margin include a late Republican filing or an unexpected primary development, though current filing deadlines and historical results indicate limited pathways for reversal before the general election.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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