Wisconsin's 6th congressional district remains a solidly Republican seat, with incumbent Glenn Grothman holding a substantial polling edge and benefiting from the area's consistent conservative lean in recent cycles. The August 11 Democratic primary produced nominee Brad Smith after a narrow contest against Amanda Bell, while independent Mike Thurow also enters the November 3 general election. Forecasters rate the race Safe or Likely Republican, reflecting limited crossover potential and Grothman's established support in a district that has favored GOP candidates by wide margins historically. These structural and campaign factors underpin the current trader consensus favoring the Republican outcome.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$24,813 交易量
$24,813 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
89%
民主党
12%
$24,813 交易量
$24,813 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
$13,915 交易量
89%
民主党
$10,898 交易量
12%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Wisconsin's 6th congressional district remains a solidly Republican seat, with incumbent Glenn Grothman holding a substantial polling edge and benefiting from the area's consistent conservative lean in recent cycles. The August 11 Democratic primary produced nominee Brad Smith after a narrow contest against Amanda Bell, while independent Mike Thurow also enters the November 3 general election. Forecasters rate the race Safe or Likely Republican, reflecting limited crossover potential and Grothman's established support in a district that has favored GOP candidates by wide margins historically. These structural and campaign factors underpin the current trader consensus favoring the Republican outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
交易量
$24,813结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Wisconsin's 6th congressional district remains a solidly Republican seat, with incumbent Glenn Grothman holding a substantial polling edge and benefiting from the area's consistent conservative lean in recent cycles. The August 11 Democratic primary produced nominee Brad Smith after a narrow contest against Amanda Bell, while independent Mike Thurow also enters the November 3 general election. Forecasters rate the race Safe or Likely Republican, reflecting limited crossover potential and Grothman's established support in a district that has favored GOP candidates by wide margins historically. These structural and campaign factors underpin the current trader consensus favoring the Republican outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$24,813结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Wisconsin's 6th congressional district remains a solidly Republican seat, with incumbent Glenn Grothman holding a substantial polling edge and benefiting from the area's consistent conservative lean in recent cycles. The August 11 Democratic primary produced nominee Brad Smith after a narrow contest against Amanda Bell, while independent Mike Thurow also enters the November 3 general election. Forecasters rate the race Safe or Likely Republican, reflecting limited crossover potential and Grothman's established support in a district that has favored GOP candidates by wide margins historically. These structural and campaign factors underpin the current trader consensus favoring the Republican outcome.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题