Democratic nominee Jocelyn Benson holds an 86% implied probability in the Michigan governor race due to her established statewide profile as secretary of state, recent primary victory, and Michigan's pattern of Democratic wins in open gubernatorial contests. Incumbent Gretchen Whitmer is term-limited after two terms, clearing the path for Benson to succeed her in the November 3, 2026 general election. Republican nominee John James secured his party's nod on August 4 but trails in available polling and forecaster ratings that lean Democratic. Earlier withdrawal by independent Mike Duggan consolidated the contest along partisan lines, while Democratic performance in recent statewide races and turnout dynamics in key areas continue to shape trader consensus around the current spread.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于民主党 86%
共和党 15%
无党派 <1%
$198,090 交易量
$198,090 交易量
2026-11-02
民主党
86%
共和党
15%
无党派
1%
民主党 86%
共和党 15%
无党派 <1%
$198,090 交易量
$198,090 交易量
2026-11-02
民主党
$47,167 交易量
86%
共和党
$150,291 交易量
15%
无党派
$633 交易量
1%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Michigan gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Democratic nominee Jocelyn Benson holds an 86% implied probability in the Michigan governor race due to her established statewide profile as secretary of state, recent primary victory, and Michigan's pattern of Democratic wins in open gubernatorial contests. Incumbent Gretchen Whitmer is term-limited after two terms, clearing the path for Benson to succeed her in the November 3, 2026 general election. Republican nominee John James secured his party's nod on August 4 but trails in available polling and forecaster ratings that lean Democratic. Earlier withdrawal by independent Mike Duggan consolidated the contest along partisan lines, while Democratic performance in recent statewide races and turnout dynamics in key areas continue to shape trader consensus around the current spread.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Michigan gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
市场开放时间： Oct 13, 2025, 6:29 PM ET
交易量
$198,090结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Oct 13, 2025, 6:29 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Michigan gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Democratic nominee Jocelyn Benson holds an 86% implied probability in the Michigan governor race due to her established statewide profile as secretary of state, recent primary victory, and Michigan's pattern of Democratic wins in open gubernatorial contests. Incumbent Gretchen Whitmer is term-limited after two terms, clearing the path for Benson to succeed her in the November 3, 2026 general election. Republican nominee John James secured his party's nod on August 4 but trails in available polling and forecaster ratings that lean Democratic. Earlier withdrawal by independent Mike Duggan consolidated the contest along partisan lines, while Democratic performance in recent statewide races and turnout dynamics in key areas continue to shape trader consensus around the current spread.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Michigan gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
交易量
$198,090结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Oct 13, 2025, 6:29 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Democratic nominee Jocelyn Benson holds an 86% implied probability in the Michigan governor race due to her established statewide profile as secretary of state, recent primary victory, and Michigan's pattern of Democratic wins in open gubernatorial contests. Incumbent Gretchen Whitmer is term-limited after two terms, clearing the path for Benson to succeed her in the November 3, 2026 general election. Republican nominee John James secured his party's nod on August 4 but trails in available polling and forecaster ratings that lean Democratic. Earlier withdrawal by independent Mike Duggan consolidated the contest along partisan lines, while Democratic performance in recent statewide races and turnout dynamics in key areas continue to shape trader consensus around the current spread.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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