Trader consensus on the 2028 Democratic presidential nominee's age centers on the 55-64 range at 40 percent, driven by frontrunners such as Gavin Newsom and Josh Shapiro alongside other governors and senators in that bracket who combine executive experience with broad appeal. The 45-54 band at 28 percent and under-45 category at 21.5 percent reflect momentum for figures like Pete Buttigieg, Wes Moore, Jon Ossoff, and Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, fueled by party interest in generational turnover after 2024 and strong polling or market positioning for these younger contenders. Recent speculation through mid-2026 shows a crowded field with no established favorite, elevating younger candidates' visibility while structural factors like Senate and gubernatorial records sustain support for mid-career options. Older brackets remain limited as few prominent names exceed age 65 in current discussions.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于55-64岁 40%
45-54 28%
45岁以下 22%
75-84岁 10%
45岁以下
22%
45-54
28%
55-64岁
40%
65-74岁
2%
75-84岁
10%
85岁及以上
4%
55-64岁 40%
45-54 28%
45岁以下 22%
75-84岁 10%
45岁以下
22%
45-54
28%
55-64岁
40%
65-74岁
2%
75-84岁
10%
85岁及以上
4%
The individual's age will be calculated on the day on which they accept the nomination. A person will be considered to have advanced from one age to the next immediately upon the beginning of the calendar day of their day of birth.
In the event that no individual has won and accepted such nomination by November 7, 2028, this market will resolve to the lowest listed bracket.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources and official public records; however, a consensus of credible sources may suffice.
市场开放时间: Sep 15, 2026, 12:59 PM ET
The individual's age will be calculated on the day on which they accept the nomination. A person will be considered to have advanced from one age to the next immediately upon the beginning of the calendar day of their day of birth.
In the event that no individual has won and accepted such nomination by November 7, 2028, this market will resolve to the lowest listed bracket.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources and official public records; however, a consensus of credible sources may suffice.
Trader consensus on the 2028 Democratic presidential nominee's age centers on the 55-64 range at 40 percent, driven by frontrunners such as Gavin Newsom and Josh Shapiro alongside other governors and senators in that bracket who combine executive experience with broad appeal. The 45-54 band at 28 percent and under-45 category at 21.5 percent reflect momentum for figures like Pete Buttigieg, Wes Moore, Jon Ossoff, and Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, fueled by party interest in generational turnover after 2024 and strong polling or market positioning for these younger contenders. Recent speculation through mid-2026 shows a crowded field with no established favorite, elevating younger candidates' visibility while structural factors like Senate and gubernatorial records sustain support for mid-career options. Older brackets remain limited as few prominent names exceed age 65 in current discussions.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于



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