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icon for 2028年民主党总统候选人年龄?

2028年民主党总统候选人年龄?

icon for 2028年民主党总统候选人年龄?

2028年民主党总统候选人年龄?

55-64岁 40%

45-54 28%

45岁以下 22%

75-84岁 10%

Polymarket
最新

55-64岁 40%

45-54 28%

45岁以下 22%

75-84岁 10%

Polymarket
最新

45岁以下

$45 交易量

22%

45-54

$50 交易量

28%

55-64岁

$64 交易量

40%

65-74岁

$27 交易量

2%

75-84岁

$5 交易量

10%

85岁及以上

$5 交易量

4%

This market will resolve according to the age of the individual who formally wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. The individual's age will be calculated on the day on which they accept the nomination. A person will be considered to have advanced from one age to the next immediately upon the beginning of the calendar day of their day of birth. In the event that no individual has won and accepted such nomination by November 7, 2028, this market will resolve to the lowest listed bracket. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources and official public records; however, a consensus of credible sources may suffice. Trader consensus on the 2028 Democratic presidential nominee's age centers on the 55-64 range at 40 percent, driven by frontrunners such as Gavin Newsom and Josh Shapiro alongside other governors and senators in that bracket who combine executive experience with broad appeal. The 45-54 band at 28 percent and under-45 category at 21.5 percent reflect momentum for figures like Pete Buttigieg, Wes Moore, Jon Ossoff, and Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, fueled by party interest in generational turnover after 2024 and strong polling or market positioning for these younger contenders. Recent speculation through mid-2026 shows a crowded field with no established favorite, elevating younger candidates' visibility while structural factors like Senate and gubernatorial records sustain support for mid-career options. Older brackets remain limited as few prominent names exceed age 65 in current discussions.

This market will resolve according to the age of the individual who formally wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president.

The individual's age will be calculated on the day on which they accept the nomination. A person will be considered to have advanced from one age to the next immediately upon the beginning of the calendar day of their day of birth.

In the event that no individual has won and accepted such nomination by November 7, 2028, this market will resolve to the lowest listed bracket.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources and official public records; however, a consensus of credible sources may suffice.

This market will resolve according to the age of the individual who formally wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. The individual's age will be calculated on the day on which they accept the nomination. A person will be considered to have advanced from one age to the next immediately upon the beginning of the calendar day of their day of birth. In the event that no individual has won and accepted such nomination by November 7, 2028, this market will resolve to the lowest listed bracket. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources and official public records; however, a consensus of credible sources may suffice.
交易量
$195
结束日期
2028-08-31
市场开放时间
Sep 15, 2026, 12:59 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the age of the individual who formally wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. The individual's age will be calculated on the day on which they accept the nomination. A person will be considered to have advanced from one age to the next immediately upon the beginning of the calendar day of their day of birth. In the event that no individual has won and accepted such nomination by November 7, 2028, this market will resolve to the lowest listed bracket. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources and official public records; however, a consensus of credible sources may suffice. Trader consensus on the 2028 Democratic presidential nominee's age centers on the 55-64 range at 40 percent, driven by frontrunners such as Gavin Newsom and Josh Shapiro alongside other governors and senators in that bracket who combine executive experience with broad appeal. The 45-54 band at 28 percent and under-45 category at 21.5 percent reflect momentum for figures like Pete Buttigieg, Wes Moore, Jon Ossoff, and Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, fueled by party interest in generational turnover after 2024 and strong polling or market positioning for these younger contenders. Recent speculation through mid-2026 shows a crowded field with no established favorite, elevating younger candidates' visibility while structural factors like Senate and gubernatorial records sustain support for mid-career options. Older brackets remain limited as few prominent names exceed age 65 in current discussions.

This market will resolve according to the age of the individual who formally wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president.

The individual's age will be calculated on the day on which they accept the nomination. A person will be considered to have advanced from one age to the next immediately upon the beginning of the calendar day of their day of birth.

In the event that no individual has won and accepted such nomination by November 7, 2028, this market will resolve to the lowest listed bracket.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources and official public records; however, a consensus of credible sources may suffice.

This market will resolve according to the age of the individual who formally wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. The individual's age will be calculated on the day on which they accept the nomination. A person will be considered to have advanced from one age to the next immediately upon the beginning of the calendar day of their day of birth. In the event that no individual has won and accepted such nomination by November 7, 2028, this market will resolve to the lowest listed bracket. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources and official public records; however, a consensus of credible sources may suffice.
交易量
$195
结束日期
2028-08-31
市场开放时间
Sep 15, 2026, 12:59 PM ET

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常见问题

"2028年民主党总统候选人年龄?"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 6 个可能结果的预测市场,交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"55-64岁",概率为 40%,其次是"45-54",概率为 28%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如,价格为 40¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 40%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

"2028年民主党总统候选人年龄?"是 Polymarket 上新创建的市场,于Sep 15, 2026上线。作为一个新市场,这是你率先设定赔率并建立初始价格信号的机会。你也可以将本页加入书签,以便跟踪交易量和活动。

要在"2028年民主党总统候选人年龄?"上交易,浏览本页上列出的 6 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓,选择你认为最可能的结果,选择"是"支持或"否"反对,输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确,你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确,支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"2028年民主党总统候选人年龄?"的当前领先者是"55-64岁",概率为 40%,意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 40%。紧随其后的结果是"45-54",概率为 28%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"2028年民主党总统候选人年龄?"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则,因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。