Recent developments in the early 2028 Democratic field show a fragmented contest where male contenders such as Gavin Newsom, Jon Ossoff, and Pete Buttigieg hold substantial shares in prediction markets and early polling, reflecting their gubernatorial, Senate, and national profiles. The DNC’s revised primary calendar, with South Carolina first, elevates states that reward established ties among key voting blocs without clearly elevating any single woman. Kamala Harris and Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez remain the leading female options but trail the top men in aggregated trader pricing, amid lingering post-2024 dynamics and no dominant frontrunner. The 2026 midterms and potential announcements could shift coalitions, yet current consensus implies higher probability of a male nominee.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于是
32% 概率
最新
最新
2028-11-06
是
32% 概率
最新
最新
2028-11-06
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the individual that wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president is a woman. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources.
Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Recent developments in the early 2028 Democratic field show a fragmented contest where male contenders such as Gavin Newsom, Jon Ossoff, and Pete Buttigieg hold substantial shares in prediction markets and early polling, reflecting their gubernatorial, Senate, and national profiles. The DNC’s revised primary calendar, with South Carolina first, elevates states that reward established ties among key voting blocs without clearly elevating any single woman. Kamala Harris and Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez remain the leading female options but trail the top men in aggregated trader pricing, amid lingering post-2024 dynamics and no dominant frontrunner. The 2026 midterms and potential announcements could shift coalitions, yet current consensus implies higher probability of a male nominee.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the individual that wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president is a woman. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources.
Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources.
Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
市场开放时间： Feb 17, 2026, 5:42 PM ET
交易量
$3,916结束日期
2028-11-07市场开放时间
Feb 17, 2026, 5:42 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the individual that wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president is a woman. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources.
Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Recent developments in the early 2028 Democratic field show a fragmented contest where male contenders such as Gavin Newsom, Jon Ossoff, and Pete Buttigieg hold substantial shares in prediction markets and early polling, reflecting their gubernatorial, Senate, and national profiles. The DNC’s revised primary calendar, with South Carolina first, elevates states that reward established ties among key voting blocs without clearly elevating any single woman. Kamala Harris and Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez remain the leading female options but trail the top men in aggregated trader pricing, amid lingering post-2024 dynamics and no dominant frontrunner. The 2026 midterms and potential announcements could shift coalitions, yet current consensus implies higher probability of a male nominee.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the individual that wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president is a woman. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources.
Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources.
Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
交易量
$3,916结束日期
2028-11-07市场开放时间
Feb 17, 2026, 5:42 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent developments in the early 2028 Democratic field show a fragmented contest where male contenders such as Gavin Newsom, Jon Ossoff, and Pete Buttigieg hold substantial shares in prediction markets and early polling, reflecting their gubernatorial, Senate, and national profiles. The DNC’s revised primary calendar, with South Carolina first, elevates states that reward established ties among key voting blocs without clearly elevating any single woman. Kamala Harris and Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez remain the leading female options but trail the top men in aggregated trader pricing, amid lingering post-2024 dynamics and no dominant frontrunner. The 2026 midterms and potential announcements could shift coalitions, yet current consensus implies higher probability of a male nominee.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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