The early 2028 Democratic nomination field shows several male candidates, including governors Gavin Newsom and senators like Jon Ossoff, drawing strong support in polls and prediction markets alongside Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez. Gretchen Whitmer’s May 2026 decision to rule out a bid has narrowed visible female options, while post-2024 reflections on Kamala Harris’s performance have prompted some party strategists and voters to prioritize perceived electability factors such as executive experience and swing-state records. With no formal declarations yet and primaries still distant, the fragmented field leaves room for shifts, but current positioning sustains trader consensus around a male nominee at 68% implied probability.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于是
32% 概率
最新
最新
2028-11-06
是
32% 概率
最新
最新
2028-11-06
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the individual that wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president is a woman. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources.
Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.The early 2028 Democratic nomination field shows several male candidates, including governors Gavin Newsom and senators like Jon Ossoff, drawing strong support in polls and prediction markets alongside Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez. Gretchen Whitmer’s May 2026 decision to rule out a bid has narrowed visible female options, while post-2024 reflections on Kamala Harris’s performance have prompted some party strategists and voters to prioritize perceived electability factors such as executive experience and swing-state records. With no formal declarations yet and primaries still distant, the fragmented field leaves room for shifts, but current positioning sustains trader consensus around a male nominee at 68% implied probability.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the individual that wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president is a woman. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources.
Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources.
Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
市场开放时间： Feb 17, 2026, 5:42 PM ET
交易量
$3,916结束日期
2028-11-07市场开放时间
Feb 17, 2026, 5:42 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the individual that wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president is a woman. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources.
Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.The early 2028 Democratic nomination field shows several male candidates, including governors Gavin Newsom and senators like Jon Ossoff, drawing strong support in polls and prediction markets alongside Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez. Gretchen Whitmer’s May 2026 decision to rule out a bid has narrowed visible female options, while post-2024 reflections on Kamala Harris’s performance have prompted some party strategists and voters to prioritize perceived electability factors such as executive experience and swing-state records. With no formal declarations yet and primaries still distant, the fragmented field leaves room for shifts, but current positioning sustains trader consensus around a male nominee at 68% implied probability.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the individual that wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president is a woman. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources.
Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources.
Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
交易量
$3,916结束日期
2028-11-07市场开放时间
Feb 17, 2026, 5:42 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The early 2028 Democratic nomination field shows several male candidates, including governors Gavin Newsom and senators like Jon Ossoff, drawing strong support in polls and prediction markets alongside Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez. Gretchen Whitmer’s May 2026 decision to rule out a bid has narrowed visible female options, while post-2024 reflections on Kamala Harris’s performance have prompted some party strategists and voters to prioritize perceived electability factors such as executive experience and swing-state records. With no formal declarations yet and primaries still distant, the fragmented field leaves room for shifts, but current positioning sustains trader consensus around a male nominee at 68% implied probability.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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