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icon for 谁将在2028年之前宣布总统竞选?

谁将在2028年之前宣布总统竞选?

icon for 谁将在2028年之前宣布总统竞选?

谁将在2028年之前宣布总统竞选?

$37,450 交易量

2026-12-31
Polymarket

$37,450 交易量

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This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual officially announces that they are running for U.S. President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future. A qualifying announcement must be explicit and unambiguous. Conditional statements, or statements that are clearly sarcastic, made in jest, or immediately clarified as not being genuine will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Potential 2028 presidential contenders including Vice President JD Vance and California Governor Gavin Newsom have signaled interest through public statements and positioning but delayed formal announcements, with Vance indicating he will discuss plans with family after the November 2026 midterms. Newsom has described a possible bid as a matter of "fate" while traveling nationally and addressing Democratic strategy. Early polling and prediction markets highlight these figures alongside Kamala Harris and Pete Buttigieg as leading names in an open field, though no major candidates have launched exploratory committees or campaigns as of August 2026. The midterms and resulting shifts in party influence and polling averages will shape timelines for declarations ahead of the primaries.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual officially announces that they are running for U.S. President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future.

A qualifying announcement must be explicit and unambiguous. Conditional statements, or statements that are clearly sarcastic, made in jest, or immediately clarified as not being genuine will not count.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$37,450
结束日期
2027-12-31
市场开放时间
Aug 4, 2026, 5:41 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual officially announces that they are running for U.S. President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future. A qualifying announcement must be explicit and unambiguous. Conditional statements, or statements that are clearly sarcastic, made in jest, or immediately clarified as not being genuine will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual officially announces that they are running for U.S. President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future. A qualifying announcement must be explicit and unambiguous. Conditional statements, or statements that are clearly sarcastic, made in jest, or immediately clarified as not being genuine will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Potential 2028 presidential contenders including Vice President JD Vance and California Governor Gavin Newsom have signaled interest through public statements and positioning but delayed formal announcements, with Vance indicating he will discuss plans with family after the November 2026 midterms. Newsom has described a possible bid as a matter of "fate" while traveling nationally and addressing Democratic strategy. Early polling and prediction markets highlight these figures alongside Kamala Harris and Pete Buttigieg as leading names in an open field, though no major candidates have launched exploratory committees or campaigns as of August 2026. The midterms and resulting shifts in party influence and polling averages will shape timelines for declarations ahead of the primaries.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual officially announces that they are running for U.S. President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future.

A qualifying announcement must be explicit and unambiguous. Conditional statements, or statements that are clearly sarcastic, made in jest, or immediately clarified as not being genuine will not count.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$37,450
结束日期
2027-12-31
市场开放时间
Aug 4, 2026, 5:41 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual officially announces that they are running for U.S. President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future. A qualifying announcement must be explicit and unambiguous. Conditional statements, or statements that are clearly sarcastic, made in jest, or immediately clarified as not being genuine will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"谁将在2028年之前宣布总统竞选?"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 71+ 个可能结果的预测市场,交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"皮特·布蒂吉格",概率为 87%,其次是"加文·纽森",概率为 80%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如,价格为 87¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 87%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

截至目前,"谁将在2028年之前宣布总统竞选?"已产生 $37.4K 的总交易量(自Aug 4, 2026市场上线以来)。这一活跃度反映了 Polymarket 社区的高度参与,并确保当前赔率由广泛的市场参与者共同形成。你可以直接在本页追踪实时价格变动并交易任何结果。

要在"谁将在2028年之前宣布总统竞选?"上交易,浏览本页上列出的 71+ 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓,选择你认为最可能的结果,选择"是"支持或"否"反对,输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确,你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确,支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"谁将在2028年之前宣布总统竞选?"的当前领先者是"皮特·布蒂吉格",概率为 87%,意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 87%。紧随其后的结果是"加文·纽森",概率为 80%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"谁将在2028年之前宣布总统竞选?"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则,因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。