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icon for 南卡罗来纳州参议院特别共和党初选:第一轮第二名

南卡罗来纳州参议院特别共和党初选:第一轮第二名

icon for 南卡罗来纳州参议院特别共和党初选:第一轮第二名

南卡罗来纳州参议院特别共和党初选:第一轮第二名

拉尔夫·诺曼 39%

达琳·格雷厄姆·诺多恩 30%

马克·林奇 16%

亨利·麦克马斯特 8.0%

Polymarket
最新

拉尔夫·诺曼 39%

达琳·格雷厄姆·诺多恩 30%

马克·林奇 16%

亨利·麦克马斯特 8.0%

Polymarket
最新
icon for 拉尔夫·诺曼

拉尔夫·诺曼

$936 交易量

39%

icon for 达琳·格雷厄姆·诺多恩

达琳·格雷厄姆·诺多恩

$310 交易量

30%

icon for 马克·林奇

马克·林奇

$2,339 交易量

16%

icon for 亨利·麦克马斯特

亨利·麦克马斯特

$247 交易量

8%

icon for 拉塞尔·弗莱

拉塞尔·弗莱

$329 交易量

8%

icon for 马克·桑福德

马克·桑福德

$184 交易量

5%

icon for 杜克·巴克纳

杜克·巴克纳

$525 交易量

4%

icon for 谢丽·比格斯

谢丽·比格斯

$298 交易量

4%

icon for 帕梅拉·埃维特

帕梅拉·埃维特

$251 交易量

4%

icon for 特雷·高迪

特雷·高迪

$271 交易量

1%

The first round of the 2026 special Republican Party primary for the United States Senate election in South Carolina will be held on August 11, 2026, with a potential runoff on August 25, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins the second-most votes in the first round of the special Republican Primary for US Senator from South Carolina. Candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' first names, as listed in this market group. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.” The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of South Carolina, such as official statewide results published by the South Carolina Election Commission (https://scvotes.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice. A crowded field of Republican candidates in South Carolina's special Senate primary, set for August 11 following the vacancy, has kept second-place positioning tightly contested among multiple contenders. Recent candidate filings and the compressed timeline have fragmented support, with no dominant polling leader emerging to consolidate votes ahead of the first round. Trader consensus reflects this uncertainty, as endorsements from state party figures, congressional colleagues, and potential debate performances could shift momentum and clarify rankings. Historical patterns in open-seat primaries show late surges or withdrawals often determine lower placements, and any new polling averages or official announcements in the coming days may create clearer separation before ballots are cast.

The first round of the 2026 special Republican Party primary for the United States Senate election in South Carolina will be held on August 11, 2026, with a potential runoff on August 25, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins the second-most votes in the first round of the special Republican Primary for US Senator from South Carolina.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' first names, as listed in this market group. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of South Carolina, such as official statewide results published by the South Carolina Election Commission (https://scvotes.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
交易量
$5,691
结束日期
2026-08-11
市场开放时间
Jul 30, 2026, 3:53 PM ET
The first round of the 2026 special Republican Party primary for the United States Senate election in South Carolina will be held on August 11, 2026, with a potential runoff on August 25, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins the second-most votes in the first round of the special Republican Primary for US Senator from South Carolina. Candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' first names, as listed in this market group. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.” The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of South Carolina, such as official statewide results published by the South Carolina Election Commission (https://scvotes.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
The first round of the 2026 special Republican Party primary for the United States Senate election in South Carolina will be held on August 11, 2026, with a potential runoff on August 25, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins the second-most votes in the first round of the special Republican Primary for US Senator from South Carolina. Candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' first names, as listed in this market group. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.” The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of South Carolina, such as official statewide results published by the South Carolina Election Commission (https://scvotes.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice. A crowded field of Republican candidates in South Carolina's special Senate primary, set for August 11 following the vacancy, has kept second-place positioning tightly contested among multiple contenders. Recent candidate filings and the compressed timeline have fragmented support, with no dominant polling leader emerging to consolidate votes ahead of the first round. Trader consensus reflects this uncertainty, as endorsements from state party figures, congressional colleagues, and potential debate performances could shift momentum and clarify rankings. Historical patterns in open-seat primaries show late surges or withdrawals often determine lower placements, and any new polling averages or official announcements in the coming days may create clearer separation before ballots are cast.

The first round of the 2026 special Republican Party primary for the United States Senate election in South Carolina will be held on August 11, 2026, with a potential runoff on August 25, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins the second-most votes in the first round of the special Republican Primary for US Senator from South Carolina.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' first names, as listed in this market group. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of South Carolina, such as official statewide results published by the South Carolina Election Commission (https://scvotes.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
交易量
$5,691
结束日期
2026-08-11
市场开放时间
Jul 30, 2026, 3:53 PM ET
The first round of the 2026 special Republican Party primary for the United States Senate election in South Carolina will be held on August 11, 2026, with a potential runoff on August 25, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins the second-most votes in the first round of the special Republican Primary for US Senator from South Carolina. Candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' first names, as listed in this market group. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.” The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of South Carolina, such as official statewide results published by the South Carolina Election Commission (https://scvotes.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"南卡罗来纳州参议院特别共和党初选:第一轮第二名"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 10 个可能结果的预测市场,交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"拉尔夫·诺曼",概率为 39%,其次是"达琳·格雷厄姆·诺多恩",概率为 30%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如,价格为 39¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 39%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

"南卡罗来纳州参议院特别共和党初选:第一轮第二名"是 Polymarket 上新创建的市场,于Jul 30, 2026上线。作为一个新市场,这是你率先设定赔率并建立初始价格信号的机会。你也可以将本页加入书签,以便跟踪交易量和活动。

要在"南卡罗来纳州参议院特别共和党初选:第一轮第二名"上交易,浏览本页上列出的 10 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓,选择你认为最可能的结果,选择"是"支持或"否"反对,输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确,你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确,支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"南卡罗来纳州参议院特别共和党初选:第一轮第二名"的当前领先者是"拉尔夫·诺曼",概率为 39%,意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 39%。紧随其后的结果是"达琳·格雷厄姆·诺多恩",概率为 30%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"南卡罗来纳州参议院特别共和党初选:第一轮第二名"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则,因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。