Recent polling from institutes such as Datafolha, Quaest, and PoderData has held Renan Santos (Missão) in the 3-4% range nationally in the weeks leading to the October 4 first round, reflecting limited name recognition outside younger demographics and competition from other third-way contenders like Augusto Cury and Ronaldo Caiado. His candidacy registration was unanimously validated by the TSE on September 10 after a brief suspension over social media disclosures, restoring access to public funds and full campaign activities. Trader consensus across the vote-share buckets remains closely divided, with the 4-6% interval edging ahead, as online mobilization among Generation Z voters and any late shifts in turnout or media exposure could still alter final results before election day.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于4-6% 33%
低于2% 23%
2-4% 22%
8%及以上 21%
最新
最新
2026-10-04
低于2%
23%
2-4%
22%
4-6%
33%
6-8%
14%
8%及以上
21%
4-6% 33%
低于2% 23%
2-4% 22%
8%及以上 21%
最新
最新
2026-10-04
低于2%
$37 交易量
23%
2-4%
$341 交易量
22%
4-6%
$100 交易量
33%
6-8%
$37 交易量
14%
8%及以上
$142 交易量
21%
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid votes received by Renan Santos in the first round of this election.
The percentage of valid votes received by the specified candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes the candidate receives in the first round by the sum of all valid votes cast in the first round.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the specified candidate does not appear on the ballot in the first round, or otherwise receives no valid votes, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, including the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Recent polling from institutes such as Datafolha, Quaest, and PoderData has held Renan Santos (Missão) in the 3-4% range nationally in the weeks leading to the October 4 first round, reflecting limited name recognition outside younger demographics and competition from other third-way contenders like Augusto Cury and Ronaldo Caiado. His candidacy registration was unanimously validated by the TSE on September 10 after a brief suspension over social media disclosures, restoring access to public funds and full campaign activities. Trader consensus across the vote-share buckets remains closely divided, with the 4-6% interval edging ahead, as online mobilization among Generation Z voters and any late shifts in turnout or media exposure could still alter final results before election day.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid votes received by Renan Santos in the first round of this election.
The percentage of valid votes received by the specified candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes the candidate receives in the first round by the sum of all valid votes cast in the first round.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the specified candidate does not appear on the ballot in the first round, or otherwise receives no valid votes, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, including the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid votes received by Renan Santos in the first round of this election.
The percentage of valid votes received by the specified candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes the candidate receives in the first round by the sum of all valid votes cast in the first round.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the specified candidate does not appear on the ballot in the first round, or otherwise receives no valid votes, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, including the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
市场开放时间： Sep 15, 2026, 10:26 PM ET
交易量
$657结束日期
2026-10-05市场开放时间
Sep 15, 2026, 10:26 PM ETA presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid votes received by Renan Santos in the first round of this election.
The percentage of valid votes received by the specified candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes the candidate receives in the first round by the sum of all valid votes cast in the first round.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the specified candidate does not appear on the ballot in the first round, or otherwise receives no valid votes, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, including the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Recent polling from institutes such as Datafolha, Quaest, and PoderData has held Renan Santos (Missão) in the 3-4% range nationally in the weeks leading to the October 4 first round, reflecting limited name recognition outside younger demographics and competition from other third-way contenders like Augusto Cury and Ronaldo Caiado. His candidacy registration was unanimously validated by the TSE on September 10 after a brief suspension over social media disclosures, restoring access to public funds and full campaign activities. Trader consensus across the vote-share buckets remains closely divided, with the 4-6% interval edging ahead, as online mobilization among Generation Z voters and any late shifts in turnout or media exposure could still alter final results before election day.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid votes received by Renan Santos in the first round of this election.
The percentage of valid votes received by the specified candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes the candidate receives in the first round by the sum of all valid votes cast in the first round.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the specified candidate does not appear on the ballot in the first round, or otherwise receives no valid votes, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, including the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid votes received by Renan Santos in the first round of this election.
The percentage of valid votes received by the specified candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes the candidate receives in the first round by the sum of all valid votes cast in the first round.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the specified candidate does not appear on the ballot in the first round, or otherwise receives no valid votes, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, including the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
交易量
$657结束日期
2026-10-05市场开放时间
Sep 15, 2026, 10:26 PM ETRecent polling from institutes such as Datafolha, Quaest, and PoderData has held Renan Santos (Missão) in the 3-4% range nationally in the weeks leading to the October 4 first round, reflecting limited name recognition outside younger demographics and competition from other third-way contenders like Augusto Cury and Ronaldo Caiado. His candidacy registration was unanimously validated by the TSE on September 10 after a brief suspension over social media disclosures, restoring access to public funds and full campaign activities. Trader consensus across the vote-share buckets remains closely divided, with the 4-6% interval edging ahead, as online mobilization among Generation Z voters and any late shifts in turnout or media exposure could still alter final results before election day.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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