Arthur Henrique leads the Roraima governor race with overwhelming trader consensus at 90%, driven by his 60.87% victory in the June 21, 2026 supplementary election, where he secured an absolute majority and outpaced Soldado Sampaio and other contenders. His strong performance as the PL nominee, backed by prior success as Boa Vista mayor, underpins the pricing despite the candidacy remaining sub judice over eligibility timing. The TSE ruling on vote validity will determine final resolution, while lower-priced names such as Farah Mesquita, Rosi Aires, and Clébio Genuíno reflect their distant finishes and limited path to confirmation. No major new developments have altered the landscape in recent weeks.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于阿图尔·恩里克 90%
罗西·艾雷斯 5.1%
法拉·梅斯基塔 3.3%
士兵桑帕约 3.3%

阿图尔·恩里克
90%

罗西·艾雷斯
5%

法拉·梅斯基塔
3%

士兵桑帕约
3%

Clébio Genuíno
1%
阿图尔·恩里克 90%
罗西·艾雷斯 5.1%
法拉·梅斯基塔 3.3%
士兵桑帕约 3.3%

阿图尔·恩里克
90%

罗西·艾雷斯
5%

法拉·梅斯基塔
3%

士兵桑帕约
3%

Clébio Genuíno
1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
市场开放时间: Aug 17, 2026, 5:38 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Arthur Henrique leads the Roraima governor race with overwhelming trader consensus at 90%, driven by his 60.87% victory in the June 21, 2026 supplementary election, where he secured an absolute majority and outpaced Soldado Sampaio and other contenders. His strong performance as the PL nominee, backed by prior success as Boa Vista mayor, underpins the pricing despite the candidacy remaining sub judice over eligibility timing. The TSE ruling on vote validity will determine final resolution, while lower-priced names such as Farah Mesquita, Rosi Aires, and Clébio Genuíno reflect their distant finishes and limited path to confirmation. No major new developments have altered the landscape in recent weeks.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于



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