Ciro Gomes leads the Ceará gubernatorial race as the favored outcome in trader consensus, reflecting his strong performance in recent polling and name recognition from his prior term as governor. August surveys from Datafolha and AtlasIntel placed him ahead of incumbent Elmano de Freitas by margins of 4–19 points in first-round scenarios, with Ciro also projected to prevail in any runoff. Elmano, seeking a second term after winning in 2022, trails amid these results despite his current position. Minor candidates including Eduardo Girão, Capitão Wagner, Roberto Cláudio, and Camilo Santana register negligible support in both polls and market pricing. The first-round vote is scheduled for October 4, 2026, with traders assigning low probability to shifts from late developments before then.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Ciro Gomes 72%
Elmano de Freitas 30%
Eduardo Girão <1%
Roberto Cláudio <1%
$156,962 交易量
$156,962 交易量
2026-10-04
Ciro Gomes
72%
Elmano de Freitas
30%
Eduardo Girão
<1%
Roberto Cláudio
<1%
卡米洛·桑塔纳
<1%
Capitão Wagner
<1%
Ciro Gomes 72%
Elmano de Freitas 30%
Eduardo Girão <1%
Roberto Cláudio <1%
$156,962 交易量
$156,962 交易量
2026-10-04
Ciro Gomes
$83,190 交易量
72%
Elmano de Freitas
$28,823 交易量
30%
Eduardo Girão
$11,888 交易量
<1%
Roberto Cláudio
$11,274 交易量
<1%
卡米洛·桑塔纳
$10,317 交易量
<1%
Capitão Wagner
$11,470 交易量
<1%
The Ceará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Ciro Gomes leads the Ceará gubernatorial race as the favored outcome in trader consensus, reflecting his strong performance in recent polling and name recognition from his prior term as governor. August surveys from Datafolha and AtlasIntel placed him ahead of incumbent Elmano de Freitas by margins of 4–19 points in first-round scenarios, with Ciro also projected to prevail in any runoff. Elmano, seeking a second term after winning in 2022, trails amid these results despite his current position. Minor candidates including Eduardo Girão, Capitão Wagner, Roberto Cláudio, and Camilo Santana register negligible support in both polls and market pricing. The first-round vote is scheduled for October 4, 2026, with traders assigning low probability to shifts from late developments before then.
The Ceará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
市场开放时间： Apr 27, 2026, 5:33 PM ET
交易量
$156,962结束日期
2026-10-04市场开放时间
Apr 27, 2026, 5:33 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Ceará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Ciro Gomes leads the Ceará gubernatorial race as the favored outcome in trader consensus, reflecting his strong performance in recent polling and name recognition from his prior term as governor. August surveys from Datafolha and AtlasIntel placed him ahead of incumbent Elmano de Freitas by margins of 4–19 points in first-round scenarios, with Ciro also projected to prevail in any runoff. Elmano, seeking a second term after winning in 2022, trails amid these results despite his current position. Minor candidates including Eduardo Girão, Capitão Wagner, Roberto Cláudio, and Camilo Santana register negligible support in both polls and market pricing. The first-round vote is scheduled for October 4, 2026, with traders assigning low probability to shifts from late developments before then.
The Ceará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
交易量
$156,962结束日期
2026-10-04市场开放时间
Apr 27, 2026, 5:33 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Ciro Gomes leads the Ceará gubernatorial race as the favored outcome in trader consensus, reflecting his strong performance in recent polling and name recognition from his prior term as governor. August surveys from Datafolha and AtlasIntel placed him ahead of incumbent Elmano de Freitas by margins of 4–19 points in first-round scenarios, with Ciro also projected to prevail in any runoff. Elmano, seeking a second term after winning in 2022, trails amid these results despite his current position. Minor candidates including Eduardo Girão, Capitão Wagner, Roberto Cláudio, and Camilo Santana register negligible support in both polls and market pricing. The first-round vote is scheduled for October 4, 2026, with traders assigning low probability to shifts from late developments before then.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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