Lucas Ribeiro's incumbency as Paraíba governor since April 2026, following João Azevêdo's resignation, combined with the Progressistas party's formal launch of his candidacy in early August, anchors the market's strong trader consensus around his leading position. Recent debates and alliance signals have reinforced this edge over main challengers including Cícero Lucena (MDB) and Efraim Filho (PL). Earlier 2026 polling showed tighter races or shifts in support, yet current implied probabilities reflect sustained momentum for the sitting executive ahead of the October vote, with limited movement from lower-probability names like Veneziano Vital do Rêgo.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于卢卡斯·里贝罗 74%
西塞罗·卢塞纳 22%
埃夫拉因·菲略 6%
Veneziano Vital do Rêgo 1.1%
$46,456 交易量
$46,456 交易量
2026-10-05
卢卡斯·里贝罗
74%
西塞罗·卢塞纳
22%
埃夫拉因·菲略
6%
Veneziano Vital do Rêgo
1%
弗拉维奥·卢西奥
1%
Nilvan Ferreira
<1%
罗梅罗·罗德里格斯
<1%
马塞洛·奎罗加
<1%
卢卡斯·里贝罗 74%
西塞罗·卢塞纳 22%
埃夫拉因·菲略 6%
Veneziano Vital do Rêgo 1.1%
$46,456 交易量
$46,456 交易量
2026-10-05
卢卡斯·里贝罗
$9,889 交易量
74%
西塞罗·卢塞纳
$14,774 交易量
22%
埃夫拉因·菲略
$13,146 交易量
6%
Veneziano Vital do Rêgo
$2,340 交易量
1%
弗拉维奥·卢西奥
$801 交易量
1%
Nilvan Ferreira
$798 交易量
<1%
罗梅罗·罗德里格斯
$1,429 交易量
<1%
马塞洛·奎罗加
$3,279 交易量
<1%
The Paraíba gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Lucas Ribeiro's incumbency as Paraíba governor since April 2026, following João Azevêdo's resignation, combined with the Progressistas party's formal launch of his candidacy in early August, anchors the market's strong trader consensus around his leading position. Recent debates and alliance signals have reinforced this edge over main challengers including Cícero Lucena (MDB) and Efraim Filho (PL). Earlier 2026 polling showed tighter races or shifts in support, yet current implied probabilities reflect sustained momentum for the sitting executive ahead of the October vote, with limited movement from lower-probability names like Veneziano Vital do Rêgo.
The Paraíba gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
市场开放时间： Jun 12, 2026, 10:39 AM ET
交易量
$46,456结束日期
2026-10-05市场开放时间
Jun 12, 2026, 10:39 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Paraíba gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Lucas Ribeiro's incumbency as Paraíba governor since April 2026, following João Azevêdo's resignation, combined with the Progressistas party's formal launch of his candidacy in early August, anchors the market's strong trader consensus around his leading position. Recent debates and alliance signals have reinforced this edge over main challengers including Cícero Lucena (MDB) and Efraim Filho (PL). Earlier 2026 polling showed tighter races or shifts in support, yet current implied probabilities reflect sustained momentum for the sitting executive ahead of the October vote, with limited movement from lower-probability names like Veneziano Vital do Rêgo.
The Paraíba gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
交易量
$46,456结束日期
2026-10-05市场开放时间
Jun 12, 2026, 10:39 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Lucas Ribeiro's incumbency as Paraíba governor since April 2026, following João Azevêdo's resignation, combined with the Progressistas party's formal launch of his candidacy in early August, anchors the market's strong trader consensus around his leading position. Recent debates and alliance signals have reinforced this edge over main challengers including Cícero Lucena (MDB) and Efraim Filho (PL). Earlier 2026 polling showed tighter races or shifts in support, yet current implied probabilities reflect sustained momentum for the sitting executive ahead of the October vote, with limited movement from lower-probability names like Veneziano Vital do Rêgo.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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