Allyson Bezerra holds the strongest position in the 2026 Rio Grande do Norte gubernatorial race due to consistent leads in August polling averages, a broad center-right coalition including União Brasil and MDB, and her record as former Mossoró mayor. Traders price her victory probability highest, reflecting her statewide campaign reach across all 167 municipalities and endorsements that consolidate support ahead of the October 4 first-round vote. Cadu de Lula trails as the main alternative backed by PT-aligned forces, while Álvaro Dias and lower-polling names such as Professor Roberio Paulino face narrower paths amid fragmented opposition. Recent conventions and survey trends have reinforced these gaps without major late shifts, though undecided voters and potential runoff dynamics remain variables that could influence final outcomes.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Allyson 74%
卡杜·德·卢拉 20%
阿尔瓦罗·迪亚斯 4%
罗贝里奥·保利诺教授 <1%
最新
最新
2026-10-04
Allyson
74%
卡杜·德·卢拉
20%
阿尔瓦罗·迪亚斯
4%
罗贝里奥·保利诺教授
1%
罗德里戈·博索纳罗
1%
Henrique Lyra
<1%
Arinalda do MLB
<1%
卡洛斯·贾拉拉卡
<1%
达里奥·巴尔博萨
<1%
Allyson 74%
卡杜·德·卢拉 20%
阿尔瓦罗·迪亚斯 4%
罗贝里奥·保利诺教授 <1%
最新
最新
2026-10-04
Allyson
$1,735 交易量
74%
卡杜·德·卢拉
$545 交易量
20%
阿尔瓦罗·迪亚斯
$302 交易量
4%
罗贝里奥·保利诺教授
$374 交易量
1%
罗德里戈·博索纳罗
$384 交易量
1%
Henrique Lyra
$357 交易量
<1%
Arinalda do MLB
$359 交易量
<1%
卡洛斯·贾拉拉卡
$363 交易量
<1%
达里奥·巴尔博萨
$432 交易量
<1%
The Rio Grande do Norte gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Allyson Bezerra holds the strongest position in the 2026 Rio Grande do Norte gubernatorial race due to consistent leads in August polling averages, a broad center-right coalition including União Brasil and MDB, and her record as former Mossoró mayor. Traders price her victory probability highest, reflecting her statewide campaign reach across all 167 municipalities and endorsements that consolidate support ahead of the October 4 first-round vote. Cadu de Lula trails as the main alternative backed by PT-aligned forces, while Álvaro Dias and lower-polling names such as Professor Roberio Paulino face narrower paths amid fragmented opposition. Recent conventions and survey trends have reinforced these gaps without major late shifts, though undecided voters and potential runoff dynamics remain variables that could influence final outcomes.
The Rio Grande do Norte gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
市场开放时间： Aug 17, 2026, 5:45 AM ET
交易量
$4,850结束日期
2026-10-04市场开放时间
Aug 17, 2026, 5:45 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Rio Grande do Norte gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Allyson Bezerra holds the strongest position in the 2026 Rio Grande do Norte gubernatorial race due to consistent leads in August polling averages, a broad center-right coalition including União Brasil and MDB, and her record as former Mossoró mayor. Traders price her victory probability highest, reflecting her statewide campaign reach across all 167 municipalities and endorsements that consolidate support ahead of the October 4 first-round vote. Cadu de Lula trails as the main alternative backed by PT-aligned forces, while Álvaro Dias and lower-polling names such as Professor Roberio Paulino face narrower paths amid fragmented opposition. Recent conventions and survey trends have reinforced these gaps without major late shifts, though undecided voters and potential runoff dynamics remain variables that could influence final outcomes.
The Rio Grande do Norte gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
交易量
$4,850结束日期
2026-10-04市场开放时间
Aug 17, 2026, 5:45 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Allyson Bezerra holds the strongest position in the 2026 Rio Grande do Norte gubernatorial race due to consistent leads in August polling averages, a broad center-right coalition including União Brasil and MDB, and her record as former Mossoró mayor. Traders price her victory probability highest, reflecting her statewide campaign reach across all 167 municipalities and endorsements that consolidate support ahead of the October 4 first-round vote. Cadu de Lula trails as the main alternative backed by PT-aligned forces, while Álvaro Dias and lower-polling names such as Professor Roberio Paulino face narrower paths amid fragmented opposition. Recent conventions and survey trends have reinforced these gaps without major late shifts, though undecided voters and potential runoff dynamics remain variables that could influence final outcomes.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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