Helder Barbalho (MDB) holds a commanding position in the Pará Senate race for one of the two seats, driven by consistent leads in recent polls such as Genial/Quaest and Real Time Big Data, where he registers 21-40% support against fragmented fields. As the term-limited former governor from a prominent political family, his MDB base, cross-party alliances, and name recognition in the state underpin the frontrunner status reflected in trader pricing. The October 2026 vote remains the resolution trigger. Factors that could narrow the gap include consolidated opposition support behind names like Éder Mauro (PL) or Zequinha Marinho, late shifts in alliances, or turnout changes among key voter blocs, though current evidence shows limited movement in these areas.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于埃尔德 91%
吉泽尔·弗雷塔斯 2.5%
塞尔索·萨比诺 2.3%
Conti 1.7%
最新
最新
2026-10-04
埃尔德
91%
吉泽尔·弗雷塔斯
3%
塞尔索·萨比诺
2%
Conti
2%
埃德莱妮·罗德里格斯
2%
Chicão
2%
泽基尼亚·马里尼奥
2%
Breno Guimarães
2%
代表埃德尔·毛罗
2%
费尔南达·洛佩斯
1%
威廉·达席尔瓦
1%
埃尔德 91%
吉泽尔·弗雷塔斯 2.5%
塞尔索·萨比诺 2.3%
Conti 1.7%
最新
最新
2026-10-04
埃尔德
$998 交易量
91%
吉泽尔·弗雷塔斯
$330 交易量
3%
塞尔索·萨比诺
$287 交易量
2%
Conti
$350 交易量
2%
埃德莱妮·罗德里格斯
$307 交易量
2%
Chicão
$286 交易量
2%
泽基尼亚·马里尼奥
$287 交易量
2%
Breno Guimarães
$342 交易量
2%
代表埃德尔·毛罗
$293 交易量
2%
费尔南达·洛佩斯
$327 交易量
1%
威廉·达席尔瓦
$339 交易量
1%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Pará is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Helder Barbalho (MDB) holds a commanding position in the Pará Senate race for one of the two seats, driven by consistent leads in recent polls such as Genial/Quaest and Real Time Big Data, where he registers 21-40% support against fragmented fields. As the term-limited former governor from a prominent political family, his MDB base, cross-party alliances, and name recognition in the state underpin the frontrunner status reflected in trader pricing. The October 2026 vote remains the resolution trigger. Factors that could narrow the gap include consolidated opposition support behind names like Éder Mauro (PL) or Zequinha Marinho, late shifts in alliances, or turnout changes among key voter blocs, though current evidence shows limited movement in these areas.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Pará is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
市场开放时间： Aug 17, 2026, 6:04 AM ET
交易量
$4,146结束日期
2026-10-04市场开放时间
Aug 17, 2026, 6:04 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Pará is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Helder Barbalho (MDB) holds a commanding position in the Pará Senate race for one of the two seats, driven by consistent leads in recent polls such as Genial/Quaest and Real Time Big Data, where he registers 21-40% support against fragmented fields. As the term-limited former governor from a prominent political family, his MDB base, cross-party alliances, and name recognition in the state underpin the frontrunner status reflected in trader pricing. The October 2026 vote remains the resolution trigger. Factors that could narrow the gap include consolidated opposition support behind names like Éder Mauro (PL) or Zequinha Marinho, late shifts in alliances, or turnout changes among key voter blocs, though current evidence shows limited movement in these areas.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Pará is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
交易量
$4,146结束日期
2026-10-04市场开放时间
Aug 17, 2026, 6:04 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Helder Barbalho (MDB) holds a commanding position in the Pará Senate race for one of the two seats, driven by consistent leads in recent polls such as Genial/Quaest and Real Time Big Data, where he registers 21-40% support against fragmented fields. As the term-limited former governor from a prominent political family, his MDB base, cross-party alliances, and name recognition in the state underpin the frontrunner status reflected in trader pricing. The October 2026 vote remains the resolution trigger. Factors that could narrow the gap include consolidated opposition support behind names like Éder Mauro (PL) or Zequinha Marinho, late shifts in alliances, or turnout changes among key voter blocs, though current evidence shows limited movement in these areas.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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