Eduardo Braga (MDB) holds the clearest edge for first place in Amazonas’ October 4 Senate contest, buoyed by his long incumbency, prior governorship, and the recently formalized Força Amazonas coalition that unites MDB, PSD, and Republicans. Recent candidacy registrations and a July poll showing him well ahead of rivals have reinforced trader consensus around his position. The remaining field stays fragmented, with Plínio Valério (PSDB), Wilson Lima (União), Capitão Alberto Neto (PL), and several lower-polling names splitting opposition support and limiting any single challenger’s momentum. This dynamic keeps probabilities clustered near even for most non-Braga contenders while highlighting structural barriers—name recognition, fundraising, and alliance-building—that would need to shift quickly to alter the ordering before election day.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于爱德华多·布拉加 57%
普利尼奥·瓦莱里奥 22%
威尔逊·利马 21%
卡皮唐·阿尔贝托·内托 17%
最新
最新
2026-10-04
爱德华多·布拉加
57%
普利尼奥·瓦莱里奥
22%
威尔逊·利马
21%
卡皮唐·阿尔贝托·内托
17%
Xuxa do Amazonas
18%
伊斯梅尔·蒙杜鲁库
7%
伊万妮教授
7%
Dailson Corrêa
7%
埃万德罗·德·奥利维拉
2%
爱德华多·布拉加 57%
普利尼奥·瓦莱里奥 22%
威尔逊·利马 21%
卡皮唐·阿尔贝托·内托 17%
最新
最新
2026-10-04
爱德华多·布拉加
$180 交易量
57%
普利尼奥·瓦莱里奥
$20 交易量
22%
威尔逊·利马
$20 交易量
21%
卡皮唐·阿尔贝托·内托
$20 交易量
17%
Xuxa do Amazonas
$50 交易量
18%
伊斯梅尔·蒙杜鲁库
$55 交易量
7%
伊万妮教授
$54 交易量
7%
Dailson Corrêa
$59 交易量
7%
埃万德罗·德·奥利维拉
$83 交易量
2%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Amazonas is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Eduardo Braga (MDB) holds the clearest edge for first place in Amazonas’ October 4 Senate contest, buoyed by his long incumbency, prior governorship, and the recently formalized Força Amazonas coalition that unites MDB, PSD, and Republicans. Recent candidacy registrations and a July poll showing him well ahead of rivals have reinforced trader consensus around his position. The remaining field stays fragmented, with Plínio Valério (PSDB), Wilson Lima (União), Capitão Alberto Neto (PL), and several lower-polling names splitting opposition support and limiting any single challenger’s momentum. This dynamic keeps probabilities clustered near even for most non-Braga contenders while highlighting structural barriers—name recognition, fundraising, and alliance-building—that would need to shift quickly to alter the ordering before election day.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Amazonas is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
市场开放时间： Aug 17, 2026, 5:53 AM ET
交易量
$540结束日期
2026-10-04市场开放时间
Aug 17, 2026, 5:53 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Amazonas is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Eduardo Braga (MDB) holds the clearest edge for first place in Amazonas’ October 4 Senate contest, buoyed by his long incumbency, prior governorship, and the recently formalized Força Amazonas coalition that unites MDB, PSD, and Republicans. Recent candidacy registrations and a July poll showing him well ahead of rivals have reinforced trader consensus around his position. The remaining field stays fragmented, with Plínio Valério (PSDB), Wilson Lima (União), Capitão Alberto Neto (PL), and several lower-polling names splitting opposition support and limiting any single challenger’s momentum. This dynamic keeps probabilities clustered near even for most non-Braga contenders while highlighting structural barriers—name recognition, fundraising, and alliance-building—that would need to shift quickly to alter the ordering before election day.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Amazonas is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
交易量
$540结束日期
2026-10-04市场开放时间
Aug 17, 2026, 5:53 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Eduardo Braga (MDB) holds the clearest edge for first place in Amazonas’ October 4 Senate contest, buoyed by his long incumbency, prior governorship, and the recently formalized Força Amazonas coalition that unites MDB, PSD, and Republicans. Recent candidacy registrations and a July poll showing him well ahead of rivals have reinforced trader consensus around his position. The remaining field stays fragmented, with Plínio Valério (PSDB), Wilson Lima (União), Capitão Alberto Neto (PL), and several lower-polling names splitting opposition support and limiting any single challenger’s momentum. This dynamic keeps probabilities clustered near even for most non-Braga contenders while highlighting structural barriers—name recognition, fundraising, and alliance-building—that would need to shift quickly to alter the ordering before election day.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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