Jorginho Mello (PL), the incumbent governor of Santa Catarina, holds a dominant position in the October 4, 2026, election due to consistent polling leads of around 50% in first-round scenarios, roughly 33 points ahead of main challenger João Rodrigues (PSD). Recent Quaest and Neokemp surveys show his government approval near 70%, with voters citing continuity on infrastructure, sanitation, and security priorities. Mello’s party convention formalized his ticket with Adriano Silva as running mate, and he secured legislative approval for a campaign leave starting late August, allowing full focus without using state resources. Strong alignment with conservative voters and Bolsonaro family backing further consolidates support in the state. While his margin suggests a possible first-round victory, shifts could arise from undecided voters (around 16%), debate performances, or late campaign developments before the October runoff window if needed.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于若尔吉尼奥·梅洛 96.2%
若昂·罗德里格斯 2.1%
马塞洛·布里加代罗 1.3%
德西奥·利马 <1%
$117,316 交易量
$117,316 交易量
2026-10-04
若尔吉尼奥·梅洛
96%
若昂·罗德里格斯
2%
马塞洛·布里加代罗
1%
德西奥·利马
<1%
Afrânio Boppré
<1%
马科斯·维埃拉
<1%
阿德里亚诺·席尔瓦
<1%
Gelson Merisio
<1%
若尔吉尼奥·梅洛 96.2%
若昂·罗德里格斯 2.1%
马塞洛·布里加代罗 1.3%
德西奥·利马 <1%
$117,316 交易量
$117,316 交易量
2026-10-04
若尔吉尼奥·梅洛
$27,404 交易量
96%
若昂·罗德里格斯
$2,794 交易量
2%
马塞洛·布里加代罗
$15,567 交易量
1%
德西奥·利马
$63,926 交易量
<1%
Afrânio Boppré
$2,166 交易量
<1%
马科斯·维埃拉
$1,839 交易量
<1%
阿德里亚诺·席尔瓦
$1,629 交易量
<1%
Gelson Merisio
$1,991 交易量
<1%
The Santa Catarina gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Jorginho Mello (PL), the incumbent governor of Santa Catarina, holds a dominant position in the October 4, 2026, election due to consistent polling leads of around 50% in first-round scenarios, roughly 33 points ahead of main challenger João Rodrigues (PSD). Recent Quaest and Neokemp surveys show his government approval near 70%, with voters citing continuity on infrastructure, sanitation, and security priorities. Mello’s party convention formalized his ticket with Adriano Silva as running mate, and he secured legislative approval for a campaign leave starting late August, allowing full focus without using state resources. Strong alignment with conservative voters and Bolsonaro family backing further consolidates support in the state. While his margin suggests a possible first-round victory, shifts could arise from undecided voters (around 16%), debate performances, or late campaign developments before the October runoff window if needed.
The Santa Catarina gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
市场开放时间： Jun 9, 2026, 10:21 PM ET
交易量
$117,316结束日期
2026-10-04市场开放时间
Jun 9, 2026, 10:21 PM ETThe Santa Catarina gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Jorginho Mello (PL), the incumbent governor of Santa Catarina, holds a dominant position in the October 4, 2026, election due to consistent polling leads of around 50% in first-round scenarios, roughly 33 points ahead of main challenger João Rodrigues (PSD). Recent Quaest and Neokemp surveys show his government approval near 70%, with voters citing continuity on infrastructure, sanitation, and security priorities. Mello’s party convention formalized his ticket with Adriano Silva as running mate, and he secured legislative approval for a campaign leave starting late August, allowing full focus without using state resources. Strong alignment with conservative voters and Bolsonaro family backing further consolidates support in the state. While his margin suggests a possible first-round victory, shifts could arise from undecided voters (around 16%), debate performances, or late campaign developments before the October runoff window if needed.
The Santa Catarina gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
交易量
$117,316结束日期
2026-10-04市场开放时间
Jun 9, 2026, 10:21 PM ETJorginho Mello (PL), the incumbent governor of Santa Catarina, holds a dominant position in the October 4, 2026, election due to consistent polling leads of around 50% in first-round scenarios, roughly 33 points ahead of main challenger João Rodrigues (PSD). Recent Quaest and Neokemp surveys show his government approval near 70%, with voters citing continuity on infrastructure, sanitation, and security priorities. Mello’s party convention formalized his ticket with Adriano Silva as running mate, and he secured legislative approval for a campaign leave starting late August, allowing full focus without using state resources. Strong alignment with conservative voters and Bolsonaro family backing further consolidates support in the state. While his margin suggests a possible first-round victory, shifts could arise from undecided voters (around 16%), debate performances, or late campaign developments before the October runoff window if needed.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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