Fábio Mitidieri (PSD), the incumbent governor of Sergipe seeking re-election, holds the leading position in the race for the October 4, 2026 first-round vote. Recent registered polls from July and August show him ahead in first-round estimates at 37–43% of valid votes, ahead of Valmir de Francisquinho (Republicanos) and well clear of Ricardo Marques (PL), Emanuel Cacho (PSDB), Dr. Helton (PSol), and Taty Cristina (DC). Mitidieri’s advantage stems from his incumbency, party convention formalization in early August, and consolidation in voter preference following the close of candidate registrations on August 15. Valmir remains the primary challenger but trails in most post-July surveys, while minor candidates register negligible support. Trader consensus reflects these polling trends and the structural edge typically held by sitting governors in Brazilian state races, though the outcome remains subject to the final weeks of campaigning ahead of the first-round ballot.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于法比奥 73%
瓦尔米尔·德·弗朗西斯基尼奥 20%
塔蒂·克里斯蒂娜·德·热苏斯 <1%
埃马努埃尔·卡乔 <1%
$10,749 交易量
$10,749 交易量
2026-10-04
法比奥
73%
瓦尔米尔·德·弗朗西斯基尼奥
20%
塔蒂·克里斯蒂娜·德·热苏斯
1%
埃马努埃尔·卡乔
1%
埃尔顿博士
<1%
里卡多·马尔克斯
<1%
法比奥 73%
瓦尔米尔·德·弗朗西斯基尼奥 20%
塔蒂·克里斯蒂娜·德·热苏斯 <1%
埃马努埃尔·卡乔 <1%
$10,749 交易量
$10,749 交易量
2026-10-04
法比奥
$8,247 交易量
73%
瓦尔米尔·德·弗朗西斯基尼奥
$941 交易量
20%
塔蒂·克里斯蒂娜·德·热苏斯
$330 交易量
1%
埃马努埃尔·卡乔
$391 交易量
1%
埃尔顿博士
$455 交易量
<1%
里卡多·马尔克斯
$385 交易量
<1%
The Sergipe gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Fábio Mitidieri (PSD), the incumbent governor of Sergipe seeking re-election, holds the leading position in the race for the October 4, 2026 first-round vote. Recent registered polls from July and August show him ahead in first-round estimates at 37–43% of valid votes, ahead of Valmir de Francisquinho (Republicanos) and well clear of Ricardo Marques (PL), Emanuel Cacho (PSDB), Dr. Helton (PSol), and Taty Cristina (DC). Mitidieri’s advantage stems from his incumbency, party convention formalization in early August, and consolidation in voter preference following the close of candidate registrations on August 15. Valmir remains the primary challenger but trails in most post-July surveys, while minor candidates register negligible support. Trader consensus reflects these polling trends and the structural edge typically held by sitting governors in Brazilian state races, though the outcome remains subject to the final weeks of campaigning ahead of the first-round ballot.
The Sergipe gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
市场开放时间： Aug 17, 2026, 5:45 AM ET
交易量
$10,749结束日期
2026-10-04市场开放时间
Aug 17, 2026, 5:45 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Sergipe gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Fábio Mitidieri (PSD), the incumbent governor of Sergipe seeking re-election, holds the leading position in the race for the October 4, 2026 first-round vote. Recent registered polls from July and August show him ahead in first-round estimates at 37–43% of valid votes, ahead of Valmir de Francisquinho (Republicanos) and well clear of Ricardo Marques (PL), Emanuel Cacho (PSDB), Dr. Helton (PSol), and Taty Cristina (DC). Mitidieri’s advantage stems from his incumbency, party convention formalization in early August, and consolidation in voter preference following the close of candidate registrations on August 15. Valmir remains the primary challenger but trails in most post-July surveys, while minor candidates register negligible support. Trader consensus reflects these polling trends and the structural edge typically held by sitting governors in Brazilian state races, though the outcome remains subject to the final weeks of campaigning ahead of the first-round ballot.
The Sergipe gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
交易量
$10,749结束日期
2026-10-04市场开放时间
Aug 17, 2026, 5:45 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Fábio Mitidieri (PSD), the incumbent governor of Sergipe seeking re-election, holds the leading position in the race for the October 4, 2026 first-round vote. Recent registered polls from July and August show him ahead in first-round estimates at 37–43% of valid votes, ahead of Valmir de Francisquinho (Republicanos) and well clear of Ricardo Marques (PL), Emanuel Cacho (PSDB), Dr. Helton (PSol), and Taty Cristina (DC). Mitidieri’s advantage stems from his incumbency, party convention formalization in early August, and consolidation in voter preference following the close of candidate registrations on August 15. Valmir remains the primary challenger but trails in most post-July surveys, while minor candidates register negligible support. Trader consensus reflects these polling trends and the structural edge typically held by sitting governors in Brazilian state races, though the outcome remains subject to the final weeks of campaigning ahead of the first-round ballot.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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