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icon for 阿马帕省省长选举获胜者

阿马帕省省长选举获胜者

icon for 阿马帕省省长选举获胜者

阿马帕省省长选举获胜者

弗尔兰博士 93%

马科斯·雷塔吉 3.7%

克雷西奥·路易斯 3.0%

贾伊罗·帕尔赫塔 2.6%

Polymarket
最新

弗尔兰博士 93%

马科斯·雷塔吉 3.7%

克雷西奥·路易斯 3.0%

贾伊罗·帕尔赫塔 2.6%

Polymarket
最新
icon for 弗尔兰博士

弗尔兰博士

$1,220 交易量

93%

icon for 马科斯·雷塔吉

马科斯·雷塔吉

$209 交易量

4%

icon for 克雷西奥·路易斯

克雷西奥·路易斯

$169 交易量

3%

icon for 贾伊罗·帕尔赫塔

贾伊罗·帕尔赫塔

$374 交易量

3%

icon for 卡洛斯·克莱

卡洛斯·克莱

$128 交易量

1%

The Amapá gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Dr. Furlan (PSD), the former Macapá mayor, holds a commanding lead in the Amapá governor race due to consistent polling margins exceeding 30 points over incumbent Clécio Luís (União Brasil) across multiple July surveys, with first-round support often above 60%. Traders price his victory at 92.5% amid his active August campaign of municipal walks and meetings emphasizing infrastructure, health, education, and oil exploration opportunities from the Foz do Amazonas discovery. Other listed candidates trail with low single-digit or negligible shares. Potential shifts could arise from turnout variations, late legal developments, or campaign momentum changes before the October 4 first round, though current polling trends and voter preference patterns support the dominant positioning.

The Amapá gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
交易量
$2,101
结束日期
2026-10-04
市场开放时间
Aug 17, 2026, 5:31 AM ET
The Amapá gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
The Amapá gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Dr. Furlan (PSD), the former Macapá mayor, holds a commanding lead in the Amapá governor race due to consistent polling margins exceeding 30 points over incumbent Clécio Luís (União Brasil) across multiple July surveys, with first-round support often above 60%. Traders price his victory at 92.5% amid his active August campaign of municipal walks and meetings emphasizing infrastructure, health, education, and oil exploration opportunities from the Foz do Amazonas discovery. Other listed candidates trail with low single-digit or negligible shares. Potential shifts could arise from turnout variations, late legal developments, or campaign momentum changes before the October 4 first round, though current polling trends and voter preference patterns support the dominant positioning.

The Amapá gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
交易量
$2,101
结束日期
2026-10-04
市场开放时间
Aug 17, 2026, 5:31 AM ET
The Amapá gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).

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常见问题

"阿马帕省省长选举获胜者"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 5 个可能结果的预测市场,交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"弗尔兰博士",概率为 93%,其次是"马科斯·雷塔吉",概率为 4%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如,价格为 93¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 93%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

"阿马帕省省长选举获胜者"是 Polymarket 上新创建的市场,于Aug 17, 2026上线。作为一个新市场,这是你率先设定赔率并建立初始价格信号的机会。你也可以将本页加入书签,以便跟踪交易量和活动。

要在"阿马帕省省长选举获胜者"上交易,浏览本页上列出的 5 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓,选择你认为最可能的结果,选择"是"支持或"否"反对,输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确,你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确,支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"阿马帕省省长选举获胜者"的当前领先者是"弗尔兰博士",概率为 93%,意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 93%。紧随其后的结果是"马科斯·雷塔吉",概率为 4%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"阿马帕省省长选举获胜者"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则,因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。