Recent polling from state-affiliated firms such as WCIOM and FOM ahead of the September 18–20 State Duma vote shows United Russia leading comfortably, followed by the Communist Party (KPRF) in second place, with the Liberal Democratic Party (LDPR) and New People (NL) competing closely for third. LDPR has edged ahead in several recent surveys and benefited from gains in 2025 regional contests, while NL’s support has risen but remains more variable. The disqualification of Yabloko from the party-list ballot has narrowed the field among registered parties, reinforcing the contest among the four systemic options above the 5% threshold. Traders’ consensus on LDPR for third place aligns with these patterns in vote-share projections, though single-mandate results and turnout could still shift final ordering.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) 56%
New People (NL) 34%
Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) 9%
A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP) 2.8%
$78,416 交易量
$78,416 交易量
2026-09-19
Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)
56%
New People (NL)
34%
Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF)
9%
A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP)
3%
雅布洛科
1%
Rodina
<1%
Civic Platform (GP)
<1%
United Russia (ER)
<1%
Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) 56%
New People (NL) 34%
Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) 9%
A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP) 2.8%
$78,416 交易量
$78,416 交易量
2026-09-19
Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)
$22,948 交易量
56%
New People (NL)
$16,257 交易量
34%
Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF)
$11,982 交易量
9%
A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP)
$4,966 交易量
3%
雅布洛科
$11,488 交易量
1%
Rodina
$3,969 交易量
<1%
Civic Platform (GP)
$2,543 交易量
<1%
United Russia (ER)
$4,262 交易量
<1%
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.Recent polling from state-affiliated firms such as WCIOM and FOM ahead of the September 18–20 State Duma vote shows United Russia leading comfortably, followed by the Communist Party (KPRF) in second place, with the Liberal Democratic Party (LDPR) and New People (NL) competing closely for third. LDPR has edged ahead in several recent surveys and benefited from gains in 2025 regional contests, while NL’s support has risen but remains more variable. The disqualification of Yabloko from the party-list ballot has narrowed the field among registered parties, reinforcing the contest among the four systemic options above the 5% threshold. Traders’ consensus on LDPR for third place aligns with these patterns in vote-share projections, though single-mandate results and turnout could still shift final ordering.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
市场开放时间： Apr 21, 2026, 3:42 PM ET
交易量
$78,416结束日期
2026-09-20市场开放时间
Apr 21, 2026, 3:42 PM ETParliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.Recent polling from state-affiliated firms such as WCIOM and FOM ahead of the September 18–20 State Duma vote shows United Russia leading comfortably, followed by the Communist Party (KPRF) in second place, with the Liberal Democratic Party (LDPR) and New People (NL) competing closely for third. LDPR has edged ahead in several recent surveys and benefited from gains in 2025 regional contests, while NL’s support has risen but remains more variable. The disqualification of Yabloko from the party-list ballot has narrowed the field among registered parties, reinforcing the contest among the four systemic options above the 5% threshold. Traders’ consensus on LDPR for third place aligns with these patterns in vote-share projections, though single-mandate results and turnout could still shift final ordering.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
交易量
$78,416结束日期
2026-09-20市场开放时间
Apr 21, 2026, 3:42 PM ETRecent polling from state-affiliated firms such as WCIOM and FOM ahead of the September 18–20 State Duma vote shows United Russia leading comfortably, followed by the Communist Party (KPRF) in second place, with the Liberal Democratic Party (LDPR) and New People (NL) competing closely for third. LDPR has edged ahead in several recent surveys and benefited from gains in 2025 regional contests, while NL’s support has risen but remains more variable. The disqualification of Yabloko from the party-list ballot has narrowed the field among registered parties, reinforcing the contest among the four systemic options above the 5% threshold. Traders’ consensus on LDPR for third place aligns with these patterns in vote-share projections, though single-mandate results and turnout could still shift final ordering.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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