Recent National Weather Service and NOAA model consensus for New York City points to a minimum temperature in the mid-to-upper 70s on August 8, supporting the market’s tight clustering around 76–79 °F. Subtle differences in the leading bins hinge on overnight radiative cooling rates, boundary-layer moisture, and light southerly flow off the Atlantic that can add or subtract a degree or two. Ensemble spread remains modest this close to the date, with the next 00Z and 12Z runs plus local mesonet observations expected to narrow the range further. Historical August lows average near 70 °F, but persistent warmth and limited clear-sky radiational cooling this week have shifted trader focus toward the higher end of the distribution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月8日纽约市最低气温？
8月8日纽约市最低气温？
76-77°F 39%
78-79°F 30%
74-75°F 18%
72-73°F 6%
最新
最新
2026-08-08
65°F或以下
<1%
66-67°F
1%
68-69华氏度
1%
70-71°F
2%
72-73°F
6%
74-75°F
18%
76-77°F
39%
78-79°F
30%
80-81°F
6%
82-83°F
1%
84华氏度或更高
1%
76-77°F 39%
78-79°F 30%
74-75°F 18%
72-73°F 6%
最新
最新
2026-08-08
65°F或以下
$43 交易量
<1%
66-67°F
$85 交易量
1%
68-69华氏度
$17 交易量
1%
70-71°F
$23 交易量
2%
72-73°F
$51 交易量
6%
74-75°F
$105 交易量
18%
76-77°F
$901 交易量
39%
78-79°F
$160 交易量
30%
80-81°F
$60 交易量
6%
82-83°F
$411 交易量
1%
84华氏度或更高
$31 交易量
1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and NOAA model consensus for New York City points to a minimum temperature in the mid-to-upper 70s on August 8, supporting the market’s tight clustering around 76–79 °F. Subtle differences in the leading bins hinge on overnight radiative cooling rates, boundary-layer moisture, and light southerly flow off the Atlantic that can add or subtract a degree or two. Ensemble spread remains modest this close to the date, with the next 00Z and 12Z runs plus local mesonet observations expected to narrow the range further. Historical August lows average near 70 °F, but persistent warmth and limited clear-sky radiational cooling this week have shifted trader focus toward the higher end of the distribution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 6, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
交易量
$1,888结束日期
2026-08-08市场开放时间
Aug 6, 2026, 9:30 PM ETThis market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and NOAA model consensus for New York City points to a minimum temperature in the mid-to-upper 70s on August 8, supporting the market’s tight clustering around 76–79 °F. Subtle differences in the leading bins hinge on overnight radiative cooling rates, boundary-layer moisture, and light southerly flow off the Atlantic that can add or subtract a degree or two. Ensemble spread remains modest this close to the date, with the next 00Z and 12Z runs plus local mesonet observations expected to narrow the range further. Historical August lows average near 70 °F, but persistent warmth and limited clear-sky radiational cooling this week have shifted trader focus toward the higher end of the distribution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$1,888结束日期
2026-08-08市场开放时间
Aug 6, 2026, 9:30 PM ETRecent National Weather Service and NOAA model consensus for New York City points to a minimum temperature in the mid-to-upper 70s on August 8, supporting the market’s tight clustering around 76–79 °F. Subtle differences in the leading bins hinge on overnight radiative cooling rates, boundary-layer moisture, and light southerly flow off the Atlantic that can add or subtract a degree or two. Ensemble spread remains modest this close to the date, with the next 00Z and 12Z runs plus local mesonet observations expected to narrow the range further. Historical August lows average near 70 °F, but persistent warmth and limited clear-sky radiational cooling this week have shifted trader focus toward the higher end of the distribution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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