**Forecast consensus from the India Meteorological Department and global models positions a minimum near 26–27°C as the most probable outcome for Lucknow on September 19.** Late-monsoon conditions feature high humidity, partly cloudy skies, and isolated thunderstorm potential that limit overnight radiative cooling, keeping lows elevated compared with drier post-monsoon nights. Recent IMD guidance lists a 27°C minimum with no warnings, while multiple sources converge on 26–27°C lows and daytime highs of 33–35°C. The market’s heavy weighting toward 26°C reflects this alignment, whereas the notable share for 30°C+ or sub-20°C outcomes likely captures residual model spread or tail-risk scenarios from stronger convection or clearer skies. Withdrawal of the southwest monsoon from adjacent Rajasthan regions around this date supports stable steering patterns without sharp temperature drops. Updated IMD and NWP model runs tomorrow morning will provide the final data ahead of market resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月19日勒克瑙的最低温度？
9月19日勒克瑙的最低温度？
30°C或更高 56%
20°C或以下 55%
26°C 48%
27°C 39%
最新
最新
2026-09-19
20°C或以下
55%
21°C
8%
22°C
11%
23°C
31%
24°C
29%
25°C
22%
26°C
48%
27°C
39%
28°C
39%
29°C
16%
30°C或更高
56%
30°C或更高 56%
20°C或以下 55%
26°C 48%
27°C 39%
最新
最新
2026-09-19
20°C或以下
$0 交易量
55%
21°C
$0 交易量
8%
22°C
$0 交易量
11%
23°C
$0 交易量
31%
24°C
$0 交易量
29%
25°C
$0 交易量
22%
26°C
$21 交易量
48%
27°C
$0 交易量
39%
28°C
$0 交易量
39%
29°C
$0 交易量
16%
30°C或更高
$0 交易量
56%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast consensus from the India Meteorological Department and global models positions a minimum near 26–27°C as the most probable outcome for Lucknow on September 19.** Late-monsoon conditions feature high humidity, partly cloudy skies, and isolated thunderstorm potential that limit overnight radiative cooling, keeping lows elevated compared with drier post-monsoon nights. Recent IMD guidance lists a 27°C minimum with no warnings, while multiple sources converge on 26–27°C lows and daytime highs of 33–35°C. The market’s heavy weighting toward 26°C reflects this alignment, whereas the notable share for 30°C+ or sub-20°C outcomes likely captures residual model spread or tail-risk scenarios from stronger convection or clearer skies. Withdrawal of the southwest monsoon from adjacent Rajasthan regions around this date supports stable steering patterns without sharp temperature drops. Updated IMD and NWP model runs tomorrow morning will provide the final data ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 17, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
交易量
$21结束日期
2026-09-19市场开放时间
Sep 17, 2026, 12:29 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast consensus from the India Meteorological Department and global models positions a minimum near 26–27°C as the most probable outcome for Lucknow on September 19.** Late-monsoon conditions feature high humidity, partly cloudy skies, and isolated thunderstorm potential that limit overnight radiative cooling, keeping lows elevated compared with drier post-monsoon nights. Recent IMD guidance lists a 27°C minimum with no warnings, while multiple sources converge on 26–27°C lows and daytime highs of 33–35°C. The market’s heavy weighting toward 26°C reflects this alignment, whereas the notable share for 30°C+ or sub-20°C outcomes likely captures residual model spread or tail-risk scenarios from stronger convection or clearer skies. Withdrawal of the southwest monsoon from adjacent Rajasthan regions around this date supports stable steering patterns without sharp temperature drops. Updated IMD and NWP model runs tomorrow morning will provide the final data ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$21结束日期
2026-09-19市场开放时间
Sep 17, 2026, 12:29 AM ET**Forecast consensus from the India Meteorological Department and global models positions a minimum near 26–27°C as the most probable outcome for Lucknow on September 19.** Late-monsoon conditions feature high humidity, partly cloudy skies, and isolated thunderstorm potential that limit overnight radiative cooling, keeping lows elevated compared with drier post-monsoon nights. Recent IMD guidance lists a 27°C minimum with no warnings, while multiple sources converge on 26–27°C lows and daytime highs of 33–35°C. The market’s heavy weighting toward 26°C reflects this alignment, whereas the notable share for 30°C+ or sub-20°C outcomes likely captures residual model spread or tail-risk scenarios from stronger convection or clearer skies. Withdrawal of the southwest monsoon from adjacent Rajasthan regions around this date supports stable steering patterns without sharp temperature drops. Updated IMD and NWP model runs tomorrow morning will provide the final data ahead of market resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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