Recent forecasts from the India Meteorological Department and global models indicate Lucknow will experience continued monsoon-influenced warmth into September 20, with overnight lows likely holding near 26–28°C amid high humidity and scattered cloud cover that limits radiative cooling. This supports the market's elevated implied probability around 26°C, consistent with recent observed minima of 24–26°C and the absence of strong northerly winds or clear-sky radiative loss. Elevated odds for 31°C or higher reflect potential for minimal overnight drop if convection persists, while the notable share for 21°C or below accounts for model uncertainty in steering patterns or unexpected clear breaks. Historical September averages near 24–25°C provide context, but current conditions favor the warmer cluster of outcomes. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月20日勒克瑙的最低温度？
9月20日勒克瑙的最低温度？
21°C或以下 80%
31°C或更高 51%
26°C 49%
25°C 40%
最新
最新
2026-09-20
21°C或以下
80%
22°C
39%
23°C
39%
24°C
39%
25°C
40%
26°C
49%
27°C
22%
28°C
39%
29°C
39%
30°C
39%
31°C或更高
51%
21°C或以下 80%
31°C或更高 51%
26°C 49%
25°C 40%
最新
最新
2026-09-20
21°C或以下
$0 交易量
80%
22°C
$0 交易量
39%
23°C
$0 交易量
39%
24°C
$0 交易量
39%
25°C
$0 交易量
40%
26°C
$22 交易量
49%
27°C
$0 交易量
22%
28°C
$0 交易量
39%
29°C
$0 交易量
39%
30°C
$0 交易量
39%
31°C或更高
$0 交易量
51%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the India Meteorological Department and global models indicate Lucknow will experience continued monsoon-influenced warmth into September 20, with overnight lows likely holding near 26–28°C amid high humidity and scattered cloud cover that limits radiative cooling. This supports the market's elevated implied probability around 26°C, consistent with recent observed minima of 24–26°C and the absence of strong northerly winds or clear-sky radiative loss. Elevated odds for 31°C or higher reflect potential for minimal overnight drop if convection persists, while the notable share for 21°C or below accounts for model uncertainty in steering patterns or unexpected clear breaks. Historical September averages near 24–25°C provide context, but current conditions favor the warmer cluster of outcomes. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 18, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
交易量
$22结束日期
2026-09-20市场开放时间
Sep 18, 2026, 12:29 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the India Meteorological Department and global models indicate Lucknow will experience continued monsoon-influenced warmth into September 20, with overnight lows likely holding near 26–28°C amid high humidity and scattered cloud cover that limits radiative cooling. This supports the market's elevated implied probability around 26°C, consistent with recent observed minima of 24–26°C and the absence of strong northerly winds or clear-sky radiative loss. Elevated odds for 31°C or higher reflect potential for minimal overnight drop if convection persists, while the notable share for 21°C or below accounts for model uncertainty in steering patterns or unexpected clear breaks. Historical September averages near 24–25°C provide context, but current conditions favor the warmer cluster of outcomes. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$22结束日期
2026-09-20市场开放时间
Sep 18, 2026, 12:29 AM ETRecent forecasts from the India Meteorological Department and global models indicate Lucknow will experience continued monsoon-influenced warmth into September 20, with overnight lows likely holding near 26–28°C amid high humidity and scattered cloud cover that limits radiative cooling. This supports the market's elevated implied probability around 26°C, consistent with recent observed minima of 24–26°C and the absence of strong northerly winds or clear-sky radiative loss. Elevated odds for 31°C or higher reflect potential for minimal overnight drop if convection persists, while the notable share for 21°C or below accounts for model uncertainty in steering patterns or unexpected clear breaks. Historical September averages near 24–25°C provide context, but current conditions favor the warmer cluster of outcomes. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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