Official forecasts from Brazilian meteorological services point to a maximum of 22–23°C in São Paulo today under mostly sunny to partly cloudy skies, with a reinforcing cold air mass limiting daytime warming and producing light southerly winds. This aligns closely with the market’s overwhelming 98.5% implied probability for 24°C, reflecting traders’ assessment of model consensus and historical August baselines near 22°C. A late surge in insolation or localized urban heat effects could push readings marginally higher, while faster cloud build-up or stronger onshore flow would more likely cap the high below 24°C; the next official bulletin and station readings will determine resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月23日圣保罗的最高温度？
8月23日圣保罗的最高温度？
24°C 99.6%
27°C <1%
26°C <1%
25°C <1%
$11,724 交易量
$11,724 交易量
2026-08-23
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
100%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
24°C 99.6%
27°C <1%
26°C <1%
25°C <1%
$11,724 交易量
$11,724 交易量
2026-08-23
20°C or below
$430 交易量
<1%
21°C
$703 交易量
<1%
22°C
$1,466 交易量
<1%
23°C
$2,806 交易量
<1%
24°C
$1,766 交易量
100%
25°C
$1,797 交易量
<1%
26°C
$954 交易量
1%
27°C
$255 交易量
1%
28°C
$312 交易量
<1%
29°C
$300 交易量
<1%
30°C or higher
$936 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from Brazilian meteorological services point to a maximum of 22–23°C in São Paulo today under mostly sunny to partly cloudy skies, with a reinforcing cold air mass limiting daytime warming and producing light southerly winds. This aligns closely with the market’s overwhelming 98.5% implied probability for 24°C, reflecting traders’ assessment of model consensus and historical August baselines near 22°C. A late surge in insolation or localized urban heat effects could push readings marginally higher, while faster cloud build-up or stronger onshore flow would more likely cap the high below 24°C; the next official bulletin and station readings will determine resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 21, 2026, 11:55 PM ET
交易量
$11,724结束日期
2026-08-23市场开放时间
Aug 21, 2026, 11:55 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from Brazilian meteorological services point to a maximum of 22–23°C in São Paulo today under mostly sunny to partly cloudy skies, with a reinforcing cold air mass limiting daytime warming and producing light southerly winds. This aligns closely with the market’s overwhelming 98.5% implied probability for 24°C, reflecting traders’ assessment of model consensus and historical August baselines near 22°C. A late surge in insolation or localized urban heat effects could push readings marginally higher, while faster cloud build-up or stronger onshore flow would more likely cap the high below 24°C; the next official bulletin and station readings will determine resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$11,724结束日期
2026-08-23市场开放时间
Aug 21, 2026, 11:55 PM ETOfficial forecasts from Brazilian meteorological services point to a maximum of 22–23°C in São Paulo today under mostly sunny to partly cloudy skies, with a reinforcing cold air mass limiting daytime warming and producing light southerly winds. This aligns closely with the market’s overwhelming 98.5% implied probability for 24°C, reflecting traders’ assessment of model consensus and historical August baselines near 22°C. A late surge in insolation or localized urban heat effects could push readings marginally higher, while faster cloud build-up or stronger onshore flow would more likely cap the high below 24°C; the next official bulletin and station readings will determine resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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