Trader consensus favors a Mexico City daily high near 27°C today, driven by forecast guidance showing temperatures several degrees above the long-term August average of roughly 24°C. This stems from warm air advection under subtropical high pressure, clear skies enhancing solar insolation across the high-elevation basin, and urban heat island amplification. Recent model runs and overnight lows in the mid-50s F support peaks in the upper 70s to low 80s F, consistent with early-month observations. Hourly station data from CONAGUA and similar agencies will finalize the maximum, with any late-day convection or wind shifts as the main variables that could shift the outcome toward 26°C or 28°C.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月4日墨西哥城气温最高？
8月4日墨西哥城气温最高？
27°C 54%
26°C 27%
28°C 14%
25°C 3.6%
$12,212 交易量
$12,212 交易量
2026-08-04
20°C或以下
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
4%
26°C
27%
27°C
54%
28°C
14%
29°C
2%
30°C或更高
1%
27°C 54%
26°C 27%
28°C 14%
25°C 3.6%
$12,212 交易量
$12,212 交易量
2026-08-04
20°C或以下
$347 交易量
<1%
21°C
$427 交易量
<1%
22°C
$543 交易量
<1%
23°C
$593 交易量
1%
24°C
$834 交易量
<1%
25°C
$2,130 交易量
4%
26°C
$1,684 交易量
27%
27°C
$3,311 交易量
54%
28°C
$1,330 交易量
14%
29°C
$825 交易量
2%
30°C或更高
$188 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus favors a Mexico City daily high near 27°C today, driven by forecast guidance showing temperatures several degrees above the long-term August average of roughly 24°C. This stems from warm air advection under subtropical high pressure, clear skies enhancing solar insolation across the high-elevation basin, and urban heat island amplification. Recent model runs and overnight lows in the mid-50s F support peaks in the upper 70s to low 80s F, consistent with early-month observations. Hourly station data from CONAGUA and similar agencies will finalize the maximum, with any late-day convection or wind shifts as the main variables that could shift the outcome toward 26°C or 28°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 2, 2026, 9:05 PM ET
交易量
$12,212结束日期
2026-08-04市场开放时间
Aug 2, 2026, 9:05 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus favors a Mexico City daily high near 27°C today, driven by forecast guidance showing temperatures several degrees above the long-term August average of roughly 24°C. This stems from warm air advection under subtropical high pressure, clear skies enhancing solar insolation across the high-elevation basin, and urban heat island amplification. Recent model runs and overnight lows in the mid-50s F support peaks in the upper 70s to low 80s F, consistent with early-month observations. Hourly station data from CONAGUA and similar agencies will finalize the maximum, with any late-day convection or wind shifts as the main variables that could shift the outcome toward 26°C or 28°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$12,212结束日期
2026-08-04市场开放时间
Aug 2, 2026, 9:05 PM ETTrader consensus favors a Mexico City daily high near 27°C today, driven by forecast guidance showing temperatures several degrees above the long-term August average of roughly 24°C. This stems from warm air advection under subtropical high pressure, clear skies enhancing solar insolation across the high-elevation basin, and urban heat island amplification. Recent model runs and overnight lows in the mid-50s F support peaks in the upper 70s to low 80s F, consistent with early-month observations. Hourly station data from CONAGUA and similar agencies will finalize the maximum, with any late-day convection or wind shifts as the main variables that could shift the outcome toward 26°C or 28°C.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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