Chinese labs currently drive the tight race for top text-to-video AI by end of November, with ByteDance’s Seedance 2.5 and Kuaishou’s Kling 3.0 posting leading arena scores through stronger motion realism, native audio sync, longer single-pass clips, and reference consistency. Google’s Veo 3.1 and Gemini Omni Flash compete closely on prompt adherence and integrated dialogue, while Runway Gen-4.5 leads in creative controls and post-production tools. Alibaba and MiniMax variants add value pressure via pricing and open-weight options. OpenAI’s Sora exit has narrowed the field, leaving outcomes sensitive to any fresh model drops, benchmark shifts, or capability demos in the next ten weeks.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於字節跳動 48%
Lightricks 43%
Meta 41%
OpenAI 38%
最新
最新
2026-11-30
字節跳動
48%
Lightricks
43%
Meta
41%
OpenAI
38%
Kandinsky
24%
Pruna
24%
MiniMax
23%
Black Forest Labs
22%
阿里巴巴/阿里巴巴-ATH
22%
Pika
17%
KlingAI
15%
騰訊
14%
Runway
12%
10%
Genmo AI
5%
Luma AI
2%
SpaceXAI
2%
Pixverse
2%
字節跳動 48%
Lightricks 43%
Meta 41%
OpenAI 38%
最新
最新
2026-11-30
字節跳動
$71 交易量
48%
Lightricks
$71 交易量
43%
Meta
$71 交易量
41%
OpenAI
$71 交易量
38%
Kandinsky
$71 交易量
24%
Pruna
$57 交易量
24%
MiniMax
$57 交易量
23%
Black Forest Labs
$57 交易量
22%
阿里巴巴/阿里巴巴-ATH
$57 交易量
22%
Pika
$50 交易量
17%
KlingAI
$50 交易量
15%
騰訊
$55 交易量
14%
Runway
$57 交易量
12%
$71 交易量
10%
Genmo AI
$50 交易量
5%
Luma AI
$57 交易量
2%
SpaceXAI
$56 交易量
2%
Pixverse
$57 交易量
2%
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the arena.ai Text-to-Video Leaderboard when the table under "Text-to-Video Arena" filtered for "Models" is checked on November 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text-to-Video Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text-to-video filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text-to-Video Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Chinese labs currently drive the tight race for top text-to-video AI by end of November, with ByteDance’s Seedance 2.5 and Kuaishou’s Kling 3.0 posting leading arena scores through stronger motion realism, native audio sync, longer single-pass clips, and reference consistency. Google’s Veo 3.1 and Gemini Omni Flash compete closely on prompt adherence and integrated dialogue, while Runway Gen-4.5 leads in creative controls and post-production tools. Alibaba and MiniMax variants add value pressure via pricing and open-weight options. OpenAI’s Sora exit has narrowed the field, leaving outcomes sensitive to any fresh model drops, benchmark shifts, or capability demos in the next ten weeks.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the arena.ai Text-to-Video Leaderboard when the table under "Text-to-Video Arena" filtered for "Models" is checked on November 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text-to-Video Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text-to-video filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text-to-Video Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text-to-Video Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text-to-video filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text-to-Video Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
市場開放時間： Sep 17, 2026, 8:15 PM ET
交易量
$1,081結束日期
2026-12-01市場開放時間
Sep 17, 2026, 8:15 PM ETThis market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the arena.ai Text-to-Video Leaderboard when the table under "Text-to-Video Arena" filtered for "Models" is checked on November 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text-to-Video Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text-to-video filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text-to-Video Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Chinese labs currently drive the tight race for top text-to-video AI by end of November, with ByteDance’s Seedance 2.5 and Kuaishou’s Kling 3.0 posting leading arena scores through stronger motion realism, native audio sync, longer single-pass clips, and reference consistency. Google’s Veo 3.1 and Gemini Omni Flash compete closely on prompt adherence and integrated dialogue, while Runway Gen-4.5 leads in creative controls and post-production tools. Alibaba and MiniMax variants add value pressure via pricing and open-weight options. OpenAI’s Sora exit has narrowed the field, leaving outcomes sensitive to any fresh model drops, benchmark shifts, or capability demos in the next ten weeks.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the arena.ai Text-to-Video Leaderboard when the table under "Text-to-Video Arena" filtered for "Models" is checked on November 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text-to-Video Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text-to-video filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text-to-Video Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text-to-Video Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text-to-video filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text-to-Video Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
交易量
$1,081結束日期
2026-12-01市場開放時間
Sep 17, 2026, 8:15 PM ETChinese labs currently drive the tight race for top text-to-video AI by end of November, with ByteDance’s Seedance 2.5 and Kuaishou’s Kling 3.0 posting leading arena scores through stronger motion realism, native audio sync, longer single-pass clips, and reference consistency. Google’s Veo 3.1 and Gemini Omni Flash compete closely on prompt adherence and integrated dialogue, while Runway Gen-4.5 leads in creative controls and post-production tools. Alibaba and MiniMax variants add value pressure via pricing and open-weight options. OpenAI’s Sora exit has narrowed the field, leaving outcomes sensitive to any fresh model drops, benchmark shifts, or capability demos in the next ten weeks.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions