Anthropic models currently lead the Text Arena Math category with the highest scores, driving trader consensus around its 50% implied probability alongside a broad "Other" option at the same level. Multiple frontier labs maintain close positioning through rapid iteration on large language models specialized for mathematical reasoning, where demonstrated strengths in chain-of-thought accuracy, benchmark consistency, and real-time arena voting determine rankings. OpenAI, Google, Z.ai, Moonshot, and Alibaba trail at lower probabilities reflecting solid but secondary placements, while smaller labs like Mistral and Meta sit further back amid ongoing releases. With resolution still months away, new model drops, capability jumps on uncontaminated math problems, and shifts in community voting patterns remain key swing factors that could reorder the leaderboard before November.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Mistral 25%
OpenAI 25%
美團 24%
Google 23%
最新
最新
2026-11-30
Mistral
25%
OpenAI
25%
美團
24%
23%
微軟
22%
小米
21%
DeepSeek
21%
字節跳動
21%
Thinky
21%
百度
19%
亞馬遜
17%
Nvidia
15%
SpaceXAI
14%
騰訊
14%
Anthropic
14%
Z.ai
14%
阿里巴巴
13%
Meta
13%
StepFun
13%
Moonshot
13%
MiniMax
11%
Mistral 25%
OpenAI 25%
美團 24%
Google 23%
最新
最新
2026-11-30
Mistral
$45 交易量
25%
OpenAI
$0 交易量
25%
美團
$0 交易量
24%
$0 交易量
23%
微軟
$0 交易量
22%
小米
$0 交易量
21%
DeepSeek
$0 交易量
21%
字節跳動
$0 交易量
21%
Thinky
$0 交易量
21%
百度
$0 交易量
19%
亞馬遜
$29 交易量
17%
Nvidia
$0 交易量
15%
SpaceXAI
$0 交易量
14%
騰訊
$0 交易量
14%
Anthropic
$0 交易量
14%
Z.ai
$0 交易量
14%
阿里巴巴
$0 交易量
13%
Meta
$0 交易量
13%
StepFun
$0 交易量
13%
Moonshot
$0 交易量
13%
MiniMax
$0 交易量
11%
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on November 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Anthropic models currently lead the Text Arena Math category with the highest scores, driving trader consensus around its 50% implied probability alongside a broad "Other" option at the same level. Multiple frontier labs maintain close positioning through rapid iteration on large language models specialized for mathematical reasoning, where demonstrated strengths in chain-of-thought accuracy, benchmark consistency, and real-time arena voting determine rankings. OpenAI, Google, Z.ai, Moonshot, and Alibaba trail at lower probabilities reflecting solid but secondary placements, while smaller labs like Mistral and Meta sit further back amid ongoing releases. With resolution still months away, new model drops, capability jumps on uncontaminated math problems, and shifts in community voting patterns remain key swing factors that could reorder the leaderboard before November.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on November 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
市場開放時間： Sep 17, 2026, 8:05 PM ET
交易量
$74結束日期
2026-12-01市場開放時間
Sep 17, 2026, 8:05 PM ETThis market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on November 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Anthropic models currently lead the Text Arena Math category with the highest scores, driving trader consensus around its 50% implied probability alongside a broad "Other" option at the same level. Multiple frontier labs maintain close positioning through rapid iteration on large language models specialized for mathematical reasoning, where demonstrated strengths in chain-of-thought accuracy, benchmark consistency, and real-time arena voting determine rankings. OpenAI, Google, Z.ai, Moonshot, and Alibaba trail at lower probabilities reflecting solid but secondary placements, while smaller labs like Mistral and Meta sit further back amid ongoing releases. With resolution still months away, new model drops, capability jumps on uncontaminated math problems, and shifts in community voting patterns remain key swing factors that could reorder the leaderboard before November.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on November 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
交易量
$74結束日期
2026-12-01市場開放時間
Sep 17, 2026, 8:05 PM ETAnthropic models currently lead the Text Arena Math category with the highest scores, driving trader consensus around its 50% implied probability alongside a broad "Other" option at the same level. Multiple frontier labs maintain close positioning through rapid iteration on large language models specialized for mathematical reasoning, where demonstrated strengths in chain-of-thought accuracy, benchmark consistency, and real-time arena voting determine rankings. OpenAI, Google, Z.ai, Moonshot, and Alibaba trail at lower probabilities reflecting solid but secondary placements, while smaller labs like Mistral and Meta sit further back amid ongoing releases. With resolution still months away, new model drops, capability jumps on uncontaminated math problems, and shifts in community voting patterns remain key swing factors that could reorder the leaderboard before November.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions