The closely matched odds near 50% for Google and a broad field of contenders reflect a highly competitive race for second place on Text Arena's math leaderboard behind Anthropic's current Claude models. Recent releases such as OpenAI's GPT-5.6 variants and Google's Gemini 3 series have delivered strong gains on math benchmarks including AIME26 and FrontierMath, while labs like Moonshot, Z.ai, Alibaba, and ByteDance post comparable arena scores through iterative reasoning improvements and open-weight updates. This leaves trader sentiment fluid, with upcoming model launches, arena voting shifts, and potential benchmark refreshes before November serving as key swing factors in a market where small capability edges can reorder rankings quickly.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於OpenAI 29%
DeepSeek 26%
SpaceXAI 24%
微軟 22%
最新
最新
2026-11-30
OpenAI
29%
DeepSeek
26%
SpaceXAI
24%
微軟
22%
Anthropic
20%
百度
20%
20%
Z.ai
18%
阿里巴巴
15%
美團
15%
Meta
14%
字節跳動
14%
MiniMax
14%
StepFun
12%
Moonshot
11%
騰訊
11%
亞馬遜
10%
Mistral
10%
Thinky
10%
Nvidia
9%
小米
8%
OpenAI 29%
DeepSeek 26%
SpaceXAI 24%
微軟 22%
最新
最新
2026-11-30
OpenAI
$0 交易量
29%
DeepSeek
$0 交易量
26%
SpaceXAI
$0 交易量
24%
微軟
$44 交易量
22%
Anthropic
$0 交易量
20%
百度
$0 交易量
20%
$0 交易量
20%
Z.ai
$0 交易量
18%
阿里巴巴
$0 交易量
15%
美團
$0 交易量
15%
Meta
$0 交易量
14%
字節跳動
$0 交易量
14%
MiniMax
$0 交易量
14%
StepFun
$0 交易量
12%
Moonshot
$0 交易量
11%
騰訊
$0 交易量
11%
亞馬遜
$0 交易量
10%
Mistral
$0 交易量
10%
Thinky
$0 交易量
10%
Nvidia
$0 交易量
9%
小米
$0 交易量
8%
This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on November 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".The closely matched odds near 50% for Google and a broad field of contenders reflect a highly competitive race for second place on Text Arena's math leaderboard behind Anthropic's current Claude models. Recent releases such as OpenAI's GPT-5.6 variants and Google's Gemini 3 series have delivered strong gains on math benchmarks including AIME26 and FrontierMath, while labs like Moonshot, Z.ai, Alibaba, and ByteDance post comparable arena scores through iterative reasoning improvements and open-weight updates. This leaves trader sentiment fluid, with upcoming model launches, arena voting shifts, and potential benchmark refreshes before November serving as key swing factors in a market where small capability edges can reorder rankings quickly.
This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on November 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
市場開放時間： Sep 17, 2026, 8:05 PM ET
交易量
$44結束日期
2026-12-01市場開放時間
Sep 17, 2026, 8:05 PM ETThis market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on November 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".The closely matched odds near 50% for Google and a broad field of contenders reflect a highly competitive race for second place on Text Arena's math leaderboard behind Anthropic's current Claude models. Recent releases such as OpenAI's GPT-5.6 variants and Google's Gemini 3 series have delivered strong gains on math benchmarks including AIME26 and FrontierMath, while labs like Moonshot, Z.ai, Alibaba, and ByteDance post comparable arena scores through iterative reasoning improvements and open-weight updates. This leaves trader sentiment fluid, with upcoming model launches, arena voting shifts, and potential benchmark refreshes before November serving as key swing factors in a market where small capability edges can reorder rankings quickly.
This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on November 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
交易量
$44結束日期
2026-12-01市場開放時間
Sep 17, 2026, 8:05 PM ETThe closely matched odds near 50% for Google and a broad field of contenders reflect a highly competitive race for second place on Text Arena's math leaderboard behind Anthropic's current Claude models. Recent releases such as OpenAI's GPT-5.6 variants and Google's Gemini 3 series have delivered strong gains on math benchmarks including AIME26 and FrontierMath, while labs like Moonshot, Z.ai, Alibaba, and ByteDance post comparable arena scores through iterative reasoning improvements and open-weight updates. This leaves trader sentiment fluid, with upcoming model launches, arena voting shifts, and potential benchmark refreshes before November serving as key swing factors in a market where small capability edges can reorder rankings quickly.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions