Google maintains the highest market-implied odds for second-best Text Arena Math AI lab by end-September due to consistent Gemini model performance across math reasoning benchmarks and arena-style evaluations, supported by DeepMind's established strengths in formal proof systems and recent Gemini 3.x updates. OpenAI's just-announced Astra advances on open Millennium Problems and Anthropic's Claude Opus series create tight contention, while Chinese labs like Z.ai and Moonshot top several AIME2026 and weighted math leaderboards, producing the broad 50% cluster among other contenders. Benchmark saturation on final-answer tasks and rapid model iteration heighten uncertainty, with any late-September releases or arena vote shifts serving as key near-term catalysts.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Google 56%
OpenAI 20.0%
Anthropic 17.3%
Alibaba 1.1%
$50,990 交易量
$50,990 交易量
2026-09-30
56%
OpenAI
20%
Anthropic
17%
Alibaba
1%
Meta
1%
Z.ai
1%
Tencent
<1%
Baidu
<1%
Moonshot
<1%
ByteDance
<1%
Xiaomi
<1%
DeepSeek
<1%
SpaceXAI
<1%
Meituan
<1%
Mistral
<1%
StepFun
<1%
Microsoft
<1%
MiniMax
<1%
Nvidia
<1%
Amazon
<1%
Google 56%
OpenAI 20.0%
Anthropic 17.3%
Alibaba 1.1%
$50,990 交易量
$50,990 交易量
2026-09-30
$15,124 交易量
56%
OpenAI
$6,544 交易量
20%
Anthropic
$5,719 交易量
17%
Alibaba
$5,673 交易量
1%
Meta
$1,239 交易量
1%
Z.ai
$1,257 交易量
1%
Tencent
$1,156 交易量
<1%
Baidu
$1,315 交易量
<1%
Moonshot
$1,364 交易量
<1%
ByteDance
$1,246 交易量
<1%
Xiaomi
$1,630 交易量
<1%
DeepSeek
$1,193 交易量
<1%
SpaceXAI
$1,001 交易量
<1%
Meituan
$1,044 交易量
<1%
Mistral
$1,228 交易量
<1%
StepFun
$566 交易量
<1%
Microsoft
$910 交易量
<1%
MiniMax
$1,063 交易量
<1%
Nvidia
$766 交易量
<1%
Amazon
$951 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Google maintains the highest market-implied odds for second-best Text Arena Math AI lab by end-September due to consistent Gemini model performance across math reasoning benchmarks and arena-style evaluations, supported by DeepMind's established strengths in formal proof systems and recent Gemini 3.x updates. OpenAI's just-announced Astra advances on open Millennium Problems and Anthropic's Claude Opus series create tight contention, while Chinese labs like Z.ai and Moonshot top several AIME2026 and weighted math leaderboards, producing the broad 50% cluster among other contenders. Benchmark saturation on final-answer tasks and rapid model iteration heighten uncertainty, with any late-September releases or arena vote shifts serving as key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
市場開放時間： Jul 24, 2026, 8:03 PM ET
交易量
$50,990結束日期
2026-10-01市場開放時間
Jul 24, 2026, 8:03 PM ETThis market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Google maintains the highest market-implied odds for second-best Text Arena Math AI lab by end-September due to consistent Gemini model performance across math reasoning benchmarks and arena-style evaluations, supported by DeepMind's established strengths in formal proof systems and recent Gemini 3.x updates. OpenAI's just-announced Astra advances on open Millennium Problems and Anthropic's Claude Opus series create tight contention, while Chinese labs like Z.ai and Moonshot top several AIME2026 and weighted math leaderboards, producing the broad 50% cluster among other contenders. Benchmark saturation on final-answer tasks and rapid model iteration heighten uncertainty, with any late-September releases or arena vote shifts serving as key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
交易量
$50,990結束日期
2026-10-01市場開放時間
Jul 24, 2026, 8:03 PM ETGoogle maintains the highest market-implied odds for second-best Text Arena Math AI lab by end-September due to consistent Gemini model performance across math reasoning benchmarks and arena-style evaluations, supported by DeepMind's established strengths in formal proof systems and recent Gemini 3.x updates. OpenAI's just-announced Astra advances on open Millennium Problems and Anthropic's Claude Opus series create tight contention, while Chinese labs like Z.ai and Moonshot top several AIME2026 and weighted math leaderboards, producing the broad 50% cluster among other contenders. Benchmark saturation on final-answer tasks and rapid model iteration heighten uncertainty, with any late-September releases or arena vote shifts serving as key near-term catalysts.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions